50% off Premium Yearly
Micron TechnologyMURISKYNov 02, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
They report Wednesday. This has a habit of shares running up till reporting, then it drops after reporting. If you can handle this volatility, buy some before, then after the report. Their prospects are directly tied to a winder economic expansion. Also, there's a new refresh cycle coming in PC sales.
The decline in demand for PCs is unsustainable, and we've moved past the phase of cheap computes for our homes during Covid. If Samsung indeed cuts production, there will be a Q3 upside surprise in computers and semis. Whenever the semis cycle turns positive, Micron goes from the worst performer to the best. Buy this now.
Both Samsung and Micron are pulling back in production, so history tells us we are within two quarters before semis bottom in pricing. Can't tell the exact timing, but you need to start buying Micron NOW, which is why shares jumped today even after a lousy quarter. Semis are a boom and bust business with gluts and shortages. Highly cyclical.
It is supposed to earn $10.46 per share next year, but the market is only projecting less than $2 per share. About 80% of their sales are into China. He worries about the potential trade war impacts. They have accused their Chinese partner on a project for stealing intellectual property. He would peck away at this, but sees $19 as a possible lower test point. They have a very small position in Micron.