Summer Sale

50% off Premium Yearly

00days
00hrs
00mins
00secs
Stockchase Opinions

The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)Newmont GoldcorpNGT.TOTOP PICKAug 24, 2021

Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly NGT is a Canadian based gold producer with a reasonable dividend backed by a payout ratio of under 50% of cash flow. It trades at 16x earnings and at under 2x book value. We would buy this with a stop loss at $65, looking to achieve $93 -- upside potential over 27%. Yield 3.84% (Analysts’ price target is $93.00)
$72.66

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$116.00

As of Sep 24, 2025. Market Open.

0
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.

You might be interested:

DON'T BUY

Largest gold producer in the world. Global. Expects synergies from latest acquisition. Balance sheet still in good shape. Well run. A go-to, if you like gold. But look at the chart -- owning gold over the last 20 years has been a tough game. 

If you want a miner, go with the copper miners, better risk/reward, part of the next ESG evolution/revolution of where the world is going.

TOP PICK

Takeover of Newcrest is huge, propelling it to be the largest in the world at what it does. Exposure to all the metals, and especially to copper with the acquisition. Operates primarily in relatively low-risk areas. Attractive opportunity for some gold exposure during uncertain times such as now. Yield is 4.14%.

(Analysts’ price target is $70.61)
BUY
The miners are very cheap. The question is what's going to happen to the commodity, because you have to make your call on it before you look at the businesses. If the price of gold goes sideways, those companies won't do much. Right now, he likes stocks better than royalties. Royalty companies are better to have once things get going. Stocks like AEM, NGT and ABX are really down, and that's a better way to play now.
premiumPremium content

Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 07/21, Up 34%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NGT has triggered its stop at $92. To remain disciplined we recommend covering the position at this time. This results in a net investment gain of 30%, when combined with our previous buy recommendation.
premiumPremium content

Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 07/21, Up 42.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NGT is progressing well. We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $80) to $92.
premiumPremium content

Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 07/21, Up 31.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NGT has achieved its $90 target. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position and trailing up the stop (from $75) to $80
premiumPremium content

Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 07/21, Up 17.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NGT is progressing well. We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $65) to $75.
DON'T BUY
Gold market has languished the last year and a half. Cost are going up by 20-30% at this part of the cycle, and he doesn't know how markets are going to react to that. He's looking at royalty companies or specific targets, rather than a generalized big gold company.
premiumPremium content

Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly We reiterate NGT as a TOP PICK. The Canadian based gold producer has a reasonable dividend backed by a payout ratio of under 40% of cash flow. It trades at 16x earnings and at under 2.5 book value. We would buy this with a stop loss at $65, looking to achieve $90 - upside potential over 30%. Yield 4.1% (Analysts’ price target is $89.96)
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 14/20, Up 2%) He'd buy it with both hands today. If you look at the GDX ETF, it's broken out of consolidation since March, led by Newmont and FNV. We've started next leg higher in gold, and this will be significant. An asset to hold if you believe money printing is going on.

premiumPremium content

Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 18/20, Down 10.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NGT has moved through our stop. We are recommending to cover the position. We will look for other opportunities.
premiumPremium content

Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK

Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly This is a bit of a defensive holding, in the event the market continues to push gold higher -- as many analysts believe could be the case. Gold stocks have rallied as of late with the investment of ABX by Warren Buffet. NMC pays a nice dividend and with a payout ratio of only 14% of cash flow, it should be safe. Cash flow from operations were recently reported up 120% from last year and that goes directly to the bottom line. The recent pullback from highs near $95 is a good opportunity to enter here. Analyst price targets are over $103 -- giving over 15% upside. We would trade this with a $83 stop loss. Yield 1.46% (Analysts’ price target is $103.65)

BUY

ABX-T owns the majority of the joint venture and NGT-T owns about 40%. This is a deal that should have happened a long time ago. You had all these ounces that could be treated at a plant next door but you could not do that and it was not economic to do so at another plant. It shows some sanity to generalist investors. ABX-T did the best out of it.

DON'T BUY
Note: Newmont is dropping Goldcorp from its name. The two merged last year to become a big company now. Newmont are good operators and integrating or selling Goldcorp's weaker mines. She has no exposure to gold, but this isn't bad--it's a large cap not dependent on a single mine, but many. That said, maybe Newmont is too big, and they're still integrating with Goldcorp.