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NVIDIA CorporationNVDAPARTIAL BUYAug 25, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Rich here, not much runway left, buy on dips. $500 has become a barrier because there are a lot of options, puts, and calls in that area. Still king of the GPU and AI chips. Not sitting on laurels. INTC and AMD are main competitors. Be patient: pick up around $484 and $464. Definitely shouldn't go under $450.
(Analysts’ price target is $503.00)Likes and owns. #1 market darling this year in the S&P 500. Best semiconductor and chip maker out there. Pole position in the arms race for AI chips. Tremendous growth, but demanding multiple. 2025 earnings will make the valuation look much less demanding. You want to be early owning the leaders. Pinnacle of momentum.
Big gaps up on earnings, also selloffs. Roll with the punches, take a multi-year view. Size your position accordingly. Will be much bigger 2-3 years down the road.
Growth is certainly impressive, but valuation is very high as well. The main risk we see is that customers are 'double ordering' as they are worried about supply issues (similar to what happened in many industries during the pandemic). Thus, if this is occurring now, growth could slow, perhaps sharply, in 18 months or so. But, with 70% of the global AI-chip market, business is good and growth is quite secure for the next 12 months at least. All the companies spending money on AI will have to see a return on their investments one day, but even so the high spend rate could still last several years. So we have a global leader, with excellent momentum, and accelerating (for now) growth. Other than valuation, it still looks very impressive. We have probably made more money buying 'expensive' stocks than we have ever made buying 'cheap' stocks, and we would continue to endorse NVDA as one of the best high-growth stocks globally. But..it is not risk-free! So we would position size accordingly.
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