Oracle (ORCL)

(Our records show Apple (AAPL-Q) is his 3^rd Top Pick, not Oracle.)(A Top Pick May 29/14. Up 6.25%) his model price on this is $62.90, a 42% upside.

It is growing nicely at EBV +5, and will be $53 this time next year. His model is $64, or a 46% upside. He can sleep can night with this one.

nOracle (ORCL-N) or Microsoft (MSFT-N)? Sold his holdings because of waning revenue growth, which still persists. Their revenue growth, at best, is low single digit. You have to look at revenue as the fuel of earnings.

Loves it, $58.84 model price, 36% upside. It’s cheap and has a long ways to go.

This is old tech. His model price is $58.52, a 38%-39% upside. CEO just retired. They have huge amounts of cash. The train is heading north on all these large cap values, and all you have to do is just be there. Dividend yield of 1.14%.

(Top Pick Oct 09/13, Up 30.49%) They had missed earnings. A great stock had fallen 10 or 15%. Earnings out tonight, but he does not care what they are. They should be buying back stock and raise dividends, but they want to make acquisitions.

A better play them IBM (IBM-N). Much better balance sheet. Generating a lot more free cash flow. They are already in the Cloud. Buying back stock and making acquisitions. The multiple is quite attractive. 1.1% dividend yield.

The trend is up, but it pulled back to support again. This stock should be part of everyone’s portfolio. Enterprise systems, the cloud, etc. Buy at $35-$37, or at least below $40 would be a great buy and there should be tremendous long term support.

(Top Pick Jul 08/13, Up 34.93%) Sold because it got a little rich. 14-15 times earnings. He should have hung on longer. PE is not bad and they have a good buyback program in place and it is a great way to play IT spending. If you still own it hang on to it.

Concern is if their business model is sustainable going forward. They had acceleration in software sales the past quarter. They have new product initiatives for the near future. A decent entry point here.

Switch from Oracle (ORCL-N) to Microsoft (MSFT-Q)? He likes Oracle. If you had to choose he would back Microsoft over Oracle. This company has some issues with Cloud in terms of inevitably being a threat to their business model, but doesn’t think there is any sort of issue over the near-term. Also, likes the fact that Microsoft had been a basket case for so long and Oracle has had its act together for the last 6 or 7 years. This is a fine company.

(A Top Pick June 19/13. Up 12.9%.) He is confident that they can continue making inroads into cloud computing. They have a lot of corporate clients. Their hardware business is in decline but have a great number of new cloud offerings.

(A Top Pick Feb 5/13. Up 8.56%.) In this one for the long haul. Likes the Cloud Computing component of it. Good strong balance sheet. Dividend is growing. Valuations are very, very reasonable. Still a Buy.

After their quarterly release, they did pretty well. Reorganized their sales force as they had pretty soft sales. In the big cap tech space, you wonder how much competition is out there and what people are missing. Over the last little bit there is more optimism. Not one of the cheapest at this point but they have great market position.

Just bought it. Very large software company that has underperformed. Reasonably valued and very cash generative. Hopefully they can transition to cloud computing. They generate organic growth but acquisition is definitely part of their growth strategy.