Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1QQQCOMMENTFeb 20, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 10, 2026. Market Open.
Market timing of course is rarely perfect nor recommended. On a fundamental basis, lower interest rates (expected) and improving corporate profits (likely) are good for the tech sector. But anything that changes these expectations could result in a sell off even just on profit taking alone. Still, conditions we think favour buyers right now, and we would be comfortable buying QQQ.
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TQQQ gives you performance that's 3x the daily (an important distinction) performance of the NASDAQ 100, magnified returns and magnified risk. Be very cautious of this strategy.
QQQ gives exposure mostly to tech, and larger weightings in the Magnificent 7. He owns some of those names, but he's very cautious of owning the broader tech index, as valuations are extended.
He just sold it after buying it at $368. Is feeling bearish about the rest of the year. Tech and communication services will offer the only chance of a Q4 rally. And yes, he sold QQQ right before megatech reports next week, and those reports could be good. What changed his mind was the Fed, appearing that they won't quit raising interest rates (Jay Powell spoke yesterday).
The beginning of the NASDAQ run up began in the late 70s when we had the birth of the new economy, up to 2000. The NASDAQ came down and bottomed in 2002. There was then a commodity boom, but then the NASDAQ kind of fiddled diddled until we had our financial crisis in 2007. NASDAQ is now marching back to close to its all-time high. The big run up from 2009 is classified as the Echo Technology Boom. He expects the NASDAQ to take out the old top and go beyond that. This may be the last in the series, but it is going to go on yet.