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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert)


Stock Opinions by Stan Wong

COMMENT
Markets.

Fabulous 9-week rally to end 2023, but we're stumbling out of the gate so far in 2024. We were overbought quite a bit, so some consolidation should not be surprising. Strong US labour data, some uptick in bond yields, and today's inflation print was hotter than expected. Markets are taking that in stride.

Renewed concerns about the trajectory of interest rates and inflation as well. Data since the 1950s shows that Q1 of an election year is typically flattish. So he expects some bumpiness in Q1. Fun fact: since 1950, in 11 observations of a first-term election-year president we've never had a negative return for the calendar year for the S&P 500. In fact, the average return is 12.2%.

COMMENT
75% of S&P 500 has broadened out above 200-day MA?

Yes. The MSCI World Index is at 73%. Last 3 months has seen the dominance of tech stocks fading a bit, and we're getting broader participation from other sectors such as healthcare, industrials, and financials. That's great for investors who are diversified, because last year it was pretty much all about tech and communications.

HOLD

Bonds and fixed income had a tough time the last couple of years. Now that we've seen interest rates fall (despite a bit of an uptick last 2 weeks), he does like bonds. CAD version of AGG, investment-grade government and corporate bonds. Yield of about 4+%. Up about 6.5% last 3 months. 

AGG is significantly cheaper at 3bps, compared to XAGH at 20 bps. So consider switching, if you don't mind the USD exposure.

BUY

Bonds and fixed income had a tough time the last couple of years. Now that we see interest rates falling (despite a bit of an uptick last 2 weeks), he does like bonds. Investment-grade government and corporate bonds.  

At 3 bps, AGG is significantly cheaper than the Canadian version, XAGH, at 20 bps. So consider buying this one, if you don't mind the USD exposure.

WEAK BUY

Up about 11% last 3 months. Basket of 22 REITs. Underperformed TSX since March 2020, but has started to move with most other dividend stocks. He's starting to warm up to areas of higher distributions like REITs. Yield's about 5%. 

Prefers US-focused ones, because of the relative strength of the US economy. Likes logistics, storage, seniors homes, US retail. 

BUY

Likes some of these solid, large-cap dividend names. Interest rate environment's on pause, likely to fall, beneficial for dividend-type stocks. Excellent name to own, nothing wrong with it. 22 bps. He owns XEI, similar strategy. 

BUY

Likes some of these solid, large-cap dividend names. Interest rate environment's on pause, likely to fall, beneficial for dividend-type stocks. Excellent name.

BUY

Great, diversified holding with relatively low MER of 29 bps. Likes European market, trading at a bit of a discount relative to US. Yes, problems in Europe, but so there are all over the world. You want exposure to Europe, he has 15-20% international, mostly in Europe.

COMMENT
European markets.

Done well, now trading about 200-day MA. On an uptrend, with ascending higher highs and higher lows. Likes the space. Important to have international exposure given the valuation discount relative to the US.

HOLD

Powerhouse, lots of cashflow, great balance sheet. Concern is it's highly centred on iPhone and how well it does. Majority of revenue comes from iPhone, though other revenue streams are increasing as a percentage. Pause in performance against the S&P. Better names with more growth and better valuation. PEG is 2x, not really cheap. He's neutral.

DON'T BUY

Basket of gold miners. Underperformed TSX and spot gold since early 2020. If looking to hedge against inflation or geopolitical events, look at gold bullion instead. With mining companies, so much can go wrong.

WEAK BUY

With mining companies, so much can go wrong. If looking to hedge against inflation or geopolitical events, look at gold bullion instead. CGL.C is the unhedged version.

WEAK BUY

With mining companies, so much can go wrong. If looking to hedge against inflation or geopolitical events, look at gold bullion instead. VALT is hedged, VALT.U is the USD version.

DON'T BUY

Underperforming TSX since 2020. For him, owning the bullion makes a bit more sense, though he doesn't own that either.

WEAK BUY

Yield gets up to about 10% with the covered call overlay. Likes US banks, cheap relative to 5-10 year history. If economy continues to recover, banks should be there. Last 3 months, this has returned 17.5%. 

Are you looking for income, or do you just want exposure to US banks? Makes sense if you need the income. He'd argue that you'll get a better total return owning the underlying shares, or an ETF of US banks, instead of using the covered call strategy.

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