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Stockchase Opinions

Benj GallanderRioCan Real Estate InvestmentREI.UN.TOBUY ON WEAKNESSFeb 19, 2020

As the stock has not dropped 33% in the last year and have 100% upside, he is not interested as a Contrarian.
$27.72

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$22.75

As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.

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BUY

Distribution very safe due to proactive cutting during pandemic. Achievable net operating growth of 3%, last quarter was 3.7%. Despite rising rates, with population growth, limited new supply, and limited retail bankruptcies, setup generally good for shopping centres in Canada. In a good spot.

DON'T BUY

Biggest proxy for the Canadian REIT market. Great assets, executes well. Over time, their strategic decisions get sideswiped. Occupancy issues, but they're improving. Dynamic for retail is not great, AMZN stole many lunches. Canadian consumer is tapped out, interest rates still high. 

You'll probably be OK, but he'd buy a couple of names ahead of this one. He owns SRU.UN instead, anchored by WMT.

DON'T BUY

It's in the most hated sector (office real estate and malls), given low occupancy rates in cities like Toronto and competition from Amazon. Also, Riocan carries a lot of debt. Debt is rising; rents are falling. Don't touch it.

COMMENT

It is doing a lot of things right and has a good distribution. He prefers a REIT with growth.

BUY

Great portfolio of retail and office, plus some new residential buildings. Solid yield of around 5.4%. Trades at a discount to NAV. Solid management. A buy.

BUY
They manage one of Canada's largest portfolios of shopping centres in major cities. A very good stock. Retail isn't in favour, but REI has great assets in the right markets. Has a good development pipeline and he believes they can grow cash flow in that period.
WEAK BUY
Raise dividend next 2-3 quarters? Pretty big dividend. Modelling dividend growth around 5%. Good payout ratio, very good value here. Don't buy just as a bet on a dividend raise. Not as recession-resilient as some, but you'll still probably get dividend growth. Big dividend already. Modelling dividend growth around 7%. Good payout ratio, very good value here. Don't buy just as a bet on a dividend raise. Recession-resilient, nat gas tailwinds. Despite everything, will probably see dividend growth.
BUY
Owns shares in company and believes company is executing well. Weathering downturn well. Retail oriented, but adding multi-family units as well. Expecting earnings growth going forward.
COMMENT
Granite vs. Riocan REITs She owns neither, though they are both well run that should do well long term. Granite is better given strong demand for industrial warehouses, driven by ongoing e-commerce.
BUY
TCN has a unique concept, single-family rentals south of the border. Lots of traction. Valuation too hot. Long-term scalability might be tough. For good value and a higher dividend, look at AX.UN, BEI.UN, or REI.UN.
BUY
Positive on it. Discount to NAV. Now seeing a turn in prospects of the leasing environment. Good job on collection rates, now around 98%. Disciplined capital allocation.
DON'T BUY
Incredibly well run, in the retail space. Shifting more into the residential space, which is already extremely crowded. Sensitive to rising rates. Very little distribution growth. Avoid.
HOLD
He focuses little on the distribution, but rather on the total return. This one he likes. They have great management. The market was not giving them credit for the resiliency of their portfolio. He would continue to hold on to it.
HOLD
Heavily into retail, so has had a difficult time. Trades at a significant discount to NAV, and it's finally under-distributing, which is safer. Hold it, and hope for the recovery. Expects numbers to improve. Projects are coming online. The worst is behind them.
DON'T BUY
Likes the way it's positioned to take advantage of opportunities in the future. Has transitioned to focus on the major markets. It's a trading stock. Question marks on the horizon. Not a buy today. Still volatility ahead.