Raytheon (RTX)

Likes it, but pull the trigger at $80-83.

Lucrative commercial aerospace division seeing big demand in after-market. OEM business starting to ramp up. Margins on defense should improve with easing of supply chain issues. New orders from international customers.

Mildly cyclical, but lots of excess capital to play offense in a tough environment. Main driver of earnings is still uncovering structural cost savings, plus rebound in commercial aircraft maintenance. Very reasonable valuation. Yield is 2.38%.

Their defence side is doing well due to geopolitical tensions. Aerospace suffered during Covid because nobody was flying, but now the travel rebound benefits this business. There is cost inflation in defence, though. Now plane engine orders are coming. Wait for a pullback to the mid-$90s to buy long term.

Good business with high demand for defense products.
Combination of commercial operations with defense products is strong.
US defense spending continuing to rise.
Expecting 6-7% revenue growth going forward.
8% cash flow yield is very strong. 

Owns shares in business - has performed well.
Defense sector recently pulled back on debt ceiling talks.
Overall, a good name to own for the long term.
Demand for defense spending not going away. 

Reasonable valuation. Going forward, potential for earnings growth and multiple expansion.

Unfortunately, geopolitics (Russian war) is pushing defence spending up around the world. RTX has a good backlog. Another business is commercial aerospace with demand driven by strong travel trends. Air travel should return to pre-pandemic by early 2024. More flights means more airplane servicing, which benefits RTX.

It will grow more than Lockheed. He loves the defence industry for being a cash cow. He comes down to what level you buy shares.

A dual threat with its aerospace business (Pratt-Whitney engines) and defence (mostly missiles) and both are growing. The valuation is not high.

1/3 of its business is in defense, but 2/3 is more of a commercial application. Gives defense exposure plus the boost because of a nascent aerospace cycle.

Really likes it, as you get aerospace and defense, counter-cyclical business. He'd be comfortable buying at current prices.

CHANGED DATE FOR TEST. Defense spending expected to rise. Stock price weakness the past year presenting a good time to buy. Commercial airspce business expected to grow. Concerns on supply chain not a big factor. Expecting margin improvement. Yield over 2%. Has been buying more shares and will continue to own.