Gavin GrahamSuncor EnergySUTOP PICKMay 22, 2007

options On Friday, investors were buying the 44 strike June calls. Now, they're buying the July 40 calls. Interesting, even though shares have pulled back 4-5% since last Friday. Investors will want to be in there. There was a buyer of nearly 11,000 of the July 40 calls for $1.75. That's why he believes energy still has more upside--there's unusual option calls to the upside.

An underperformer now doing catch-up. As long as oil prices stay high, SU has more run to run. It's a Canadian oil sands company, which is an expensive, difficult way to extract oil, but is enjoying high demand given the oil shortage now. The oil sands can see tremendous earnings growth levered to the high price of oil. Conversely, if oil prices soon peaks, this stock will be a dog.SU shares are up 40% YTD. A short-seller is shaking things up, because SU is lagging behind its peers, the second-worst performing Canadian oil sands company because of poor execution and a terrible safety record including 12 deaths (according to the short-seller). They also haven't lowered their production costs as their bitumen production has been declining over the past three years. SU is a relatively cheap stock with a terrific activist kicker and pays a 3.6% dividend.

It looks fairly attractive. It re-instated its dividend with a 5% yield. It is still down from before Covid but is generating lots of cash flow. Next year earnings per share could be 50% higher. The CEO bought half million in stock several months ago. It looks attractive as a catch up trade since it has lagged the rally.

They just reported earnings and beat the street. This will rise in tomorrow's trading. He's been adding to it. (Analysts’ price target is $49.78)

Basically a tar sands company. However, it is an integrated and does have gas stations. Americans really like it but he finds it expensive at 18X. Would consider buying at under $100.

If you want to have an almost pure play exposure to the oil sands, this is a great name to own. For the long-term, probably the best play in the energy business to be. Have probably seen the best share price movement and probably not cheap at this point.