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NYSE:T
BCE vs. ATT. Stock performance has been similar over last year. Comes down to the wireless space. For ATT, it’s the only thing they do, whereas with BCE it’s only one thing they do. In Canada, there’s more runway for wireless growth. He’d go with BCE, good dividend and cash flow. It’s a little early to own high dividend names, but once interest rates start falling, these names will look interesting.
He doesn’t know how they are going to finance the acquisition. Not likely see a dividend cut. AT&T and Verizon are the 2 wireless leaders in the US. Should be good long term investments but growth has really slowed down in this industry. Prefers Verizon over AT&T. They are good solid steady investments, but are not going to make big capital appreciation.
It’s in the process of going through a hearing to conduct a major acquisition. It is going to take a lot of debt to do so. If it is allowed its will be over $200 billion. A significant part of their EBITDA is from their old wire lines business. That is declining rapidly. If interest rates move up rapidly these companies that use leverage and have relatively low growth business could be affected.
The technical chart is not showing any upward momentum. Policy factors and other issues are not fundamentally supportive. The sector is a bond proxy and this is not the time to be investing in this space as interest rates are moving up. He questions if the dividend is safe. This is not a defensive stock with rising interest rates, which he expects will rise to 4%. Yield 6%.
Consumers are cutting their landlines while youngsters are watching/downloading content for free, a huge struggle for all telecoms anywhere. They (and Verizon) are struggling to build their business. He stays away from this industry.
Doesn't see growth in this space. Internet and wireless are the only areas of growth, but there is pricing pressure here.
A lot is happening in telecoms. Unfortunately, you are fighting a real headwind. The chart shows lower highs and lower lows. There are probably higher rates over time. This name is going to face a wall of sellers, as every time this creeps up a little, more people are going to want to Sell to get their money back. He wouldn't advise anyone to look at this space right now.
Buy in the low-$30s and hope it pops up to the low-$40s, and collect the 5.9% dividend.