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Target CorpTGTWEAK BUYMar 20, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
It surged today after reporting. Target has lagged its peers because it hasn't produced positive same-store sales, a key metric, in ages. They reported big profits, though same-store sales and total revenue were okay and in-line. But they slashed inventories 14% YOY, less theft and transport costs normalize. Huge earnings beat. Pays a 3.4% yield which will look more attractive if the Fed holds rates, and if inflation declines, then the consumer will have more spending money.
They have troubles now, and was downgraded it, but it still offers a strong value proposition. They've done a great job on decreasing inventory, -16% last quarter. Freight costs are declining. They will have traffic issues, but long term the value will shine. Down 18% in the past month. She may buy more if it falls more.
Consumer staples are a bit expensive, but they beat EPS and are managing inventory better. It'll be difficult to reach their 6% margin target in this economy. Shares are up 8% YTD. Has a concern of weakening in the lower-end consumer, though.