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TSE:TRP
What company do you prefer CN Rail (CNR-T) or TransCanada (TRP-T)? He likes both. Near term he likes a little more Transcanada (TRP-T) as it is an asset class that is in shortage now. CN Rail (CNR-T) took the cost cutting a little too far and is struggling a little but long term they are a great business.
It has been the better performer over ENB-T. Their business is firing on a lot of cylinders. They are busy in Mexico and the gulf coast as well. Keystone makes more sense every day. There is a potential LNG announcement in June by Shell. You could see two big projects back on the table for TRP-T. ENB-T is a better value, however.
It passed Enbridge but has sold down quite a bit in past weeks. Past decade has seen consistent revenue growth. Had blacklog of $24 million worth of projects that will come online in three years in the U.S. and Canada. Will access to U.S. shale. Predicts 10% earnings growth and dividends continue to rise. Expects Keystone to get built. (Analysts' price target $71.35)
All the energy infrastructure and pipelines have pulled off a little, with higher interest rates. There is commercial support now for Keystone, which gives another $2-$6 to the stock. Even without that, he sees this probably going to $72 over the next 12 months. The company indicated they are going to grow their dividend 8%-10% out to 2021. 60% payout ratio. He models 8% earnings per share growth. On these higher interest rate concerns, you can be buying at this time, or better yet, Sell a Put and oblige yourself to own it at $55 and get paid a nice little premium. Dividend yield of 4.3%.
For a TFSA? Good company, steady, nice dividend. They've grown their dividend over the years. An appropriate investment. Expects it to grow by share price and dividend by about 8%-10% a year for the foreseeable future. It would be better in an RRSP or RIF account. Investments with a higher possibility of a rate of return, should be in the TFSA, and companies like this with a fixed income, really should be in an RRSP or RIF.
Over the last 2-3 years, this has had a pretty good run. Had a pullback in the last 6 months, but longer-term it’s a good opportunity. Pipelines tend to be more stable assets that benefit you when the market goes down. When we go into recession, these assets will hold up because it is a pretty steady business. A lot of institutional managers are taking there weighting down a little, so in the short term there has been some pressure for underperformance in the sector. Long-term, this is a good sector to invest in.
Pipelines? Canada is producing way more oil than what we can get out, so there is a long-term demand for pipeline capacity. Because of a tight Canadian market, they are expensive on a global basis. This has made big US acquisitions, because US companies are cheaper. The outlook for projects in all these companies is very strong. You should be fine in any of them.
He likes the pipelines, though we're not building any right now due to environmentalists. We haven't built any to the coast, so we can't ship any, which makes us beholden to the U.S. That's a big concern. Careful with pipelines, because of interest rate exposure. Pipielines are infrastructure, after all. He likes the yield of TRP which is sustainable. Will add more shares later. It's a solid vehicle.