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TSE:TRP
This was a top pick because he wanted to keep the betas low, just in case there is a market correction any time in the next year. All the talk is about Keystone and their oil pipelines, but nobody is really paying attention that this has been accumulating a lot of gas pipelines and gas assets. Natural gas prices have been in the toilet for a long time, and that bodes well for them, because it is going to be the less pollutant, cheaper choice for the US moving forward. The dividend has been growing roughly in the 10% range which he expects will continue. Dividend yield of 4.2%. Trading around 20X PE. (Analysts' price target is $72.50.)
Wouldn't be in a rush to buy this. If you have a portfolio that is filled with telcos and REITs, he would definitely stay away from pipelines. You are going to see the pipelines under pressure as interest rates go up. This one gives you about 4.5% dividend yield. Doesn't see a lot of growth potential in terms of share price in the near term.
He likes this company. It gives a good Canadian source dividend, and a company that is more than Canada on an energy standpoint. They’ve diversified into the US, so it's not just a Canadian pipeline. There are some catalysts in the next little while. The stock has been stuck around $60. Typically, you buy at $60 and sell at $65 so it looks interesting. Has a good 4% dividend yield that should grow. Probably $65-$70 is the next range for this stock.
On the growth/pipelines/utilities/telecom group, you are looking for guys that can grow earnings so that they can grow dividends. This company fits. There was a big US acquisition in 2016, which really helped. Although Energy East is now defunct, you get the dividend yield of 4%, along with the demonstrative plan of growth including the dividend over the next 5-7 years. A great place to hide, particularly in this environment where everything looks and feels a bit expensive. (Analysts’ price target is $72.)
This had everything going for it in the past couple of years. One thing that is looking a little more questionable is their growth plan going forward. With their Columbia acquisition, they have lots of growth in the US, but in Canada they have the LNG pipelines, which look to be suspect at best. He hopes that Keystone XL gets done. Even if that doesn’t go, the company has a great infrastructure program with all the natural gas pipelines they can build. There is probably not as much opportunity from these prices as there is with others.
TRP-T vs. ENB-T. TRP-T has generation as well as transmission. ENB has more retail as well as wholesale transmission. They are both favoured by income seekers. When there was talk of increasing interest rates at the BOC, these stocks tended to go down. This makes him nervous about the pipelines and utilities. He owns TRP-T and feels everyone should own one of them. You won’t go too far wrong with either one.
As bullish as he is on increasing rates, and rates are going up, this sector will be hurt more than any other because a lot of interest rate refugees have kind of pumped the valuation of all of these stocks, including telephone utilities. Valuations doesn’t make a whole lot of sense. There is a lot of pressure on these stocks going forward. He wouldn't touch this until it went down to $41.