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Tesla IncTSLATOP PICKSep 02, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
He's removing this from the Magnificent 7. It's fallen 16% year to date while all its peers have gained, especially Nvidia. Sales are flagging in China where a Chinese company is overtaking them. Meanwhile, US demand may be peaking. Also consider the declining value of their cards. The EV space is challenged unless Musk develops a battery that lasts twice as long as a gas car tank.
It has been a tough year with cost over-runs along with having to reduce prices and therefore margins. The growth rate is slowing down. It expects to produce 1.8 million vehicles this year and could be falling behind other EV producers, There is intellectual value in their chargers as well as solar and battery technology, but most of their revenue today comes from their production of EV vehicles.
*Short* These are great cars and Elon Musk is truly a visionary and innovator. The problem is a great car does not necessarily make a great investment. This is trading at extreme valuations. It has no EBITDA, no earnings, and no cash flow. They are going to need to raise another $2 billion this year to support their growth. Another knock is that they have recently tried to buy SolarCity (SCTY-Q), a related company which is also burning a lot of cash. He will want to cover this Short if 1) either valuations improve and they actually start meeting their targets, 2) the price momentum find a base and stabilize, and 3) a reasonable valuation.