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Tesla IncTSLACOMMENTJan 19, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
He's removing this from the Magnificent 7. It's fallen 16% year to date while all its peers have gained, especially Nvidia. Sales are flagging in China where a Chinese company is overtaking them. Meanwhile, US demand may be peaking. Also consider the declining value of their cards. The EV space is challenged unless Musk develops a battery that lasts twice as long as a gas car tank.
It has been a tough year with cost over-runs along with having to reduce prices and therefore margins. The growth rate is slowing down. It expects to produce 1.8 million vehicles this year and could be falling behind other EV producers, There is intellectual value in their chargers as well as solar and battery technology, but most of their revenue today comes from their production of EV vehicles.
Doesn’t think this has a sustainable business model. There are 2 parts to a car, design and battery. The battery is common sense and there is nothing proprietary about it. By building their giga factory, they have brought their costs down as much is they possibly could. However, it has not followed Moore’s Law. You can only make a lithium ion battery so cheap. There are a lot of upfront manufacturing costs that cannot go to zero. Then there is the style aspect, and he doesn’t see how it can compete against Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Ford, Chrysler, General Motors.