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Tesla IncTSLACOMMENTApr 19, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
He's removing this from the Magnificent 7. It's fallen 16% year to date while all its peers have gained, especially Nvidia. Sales are flagging in China where a Chinese company is overtaking them. Meanwhile, US demand may be peaking. Also consider the declining value of their cards. The EV space is challenged unless Musk develops a battery that lasts twice as long as a gas car tank.
It has been a tough year with cost over-runs along with having to reduce prices and therefore margins. The growth rate is slowing down. It expects to produce 1.8 million vehicles this year and could be falling behind other EV producers, There is intellectual value in their chargers as well as solar and battery technology, but most of their revenue today comes from their production of EV vehicles.
A truly unique company. Some people look at this as a car company and some will see it as a battery or alternative energy company. In reality, it is a company that is changing the world. The cost of a battery cell a year ago was $500. Today it is $190. As the giga factory comes online, it will be $150 per cell with a clear line of sight to $100 per cell. At that time, there is no petrol-powered drivetrain that can compete with an electric drivetrain., They think they can cut costs of capital spending by half in the utility business. If they can produce 500,000 of the Model3 car, they can earn $20 a share. There are risks in this.