50% off Premium Yearly
UberUBERBUY ON WEAKNESSApr 21, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
One of the biggest winners of 2023. It's added about $90 billion in 19 months, so it's now worth re-evaluating. There may be no or little upside in the near-term, but he's a long-term holder and will accept that. Uber has bounced off its 200-day moving average 3 times in 2023; only 5 days in 2023 were under that 200-day MA.
Uber now occupies the same mind space that google does, using it as a verb. Speaks to it becoming synonymous with ride-sharing. 131M monthly active users. Dominant and scalable platform. Strong network effect in that the more drivers and deliverers it has, the more valuable the network to both parties.
Turned a corner financially, expected to be in the black this year. Profits expected to triple next year and continue growing dynamically as far out as 2025. Added to S&P 500, should do well. Looks expensive, but will grow into its valuation, with an outlook of sub-30x. No dividend.
They've taken a lot of market share from Lyft. Isn't worried that an analyst bumped the target to $60. Fundamentals have improved a lot. Food delivery has benefitted them. Uber is essential to many for work and recreation. The balance sheet has improved. Agrees with the new target. And it will join the S&P.
Uber's recent results beat estimates, and year-to-date the stock has been performing well supported by its Q4 results.
Sales and earnings estimates are projected to be strong for the next few years, and it is anticipated to become profitable this year.
Its forward sales multiple of 1.7X is reasonable, although its forward P/E of 38.3X is fairly high.
Although, we expect its P/E to contract over time as earnings grow at a faster rate than shares.
It has turned cash flow positive in 2022, is working on paying down its debt.
It has a strong cash balance of $4.3B, and overall, we like the direction that the operational metrics are heading in.
We would like to see it continue its recent momentum in profitability and free cash flow, but overall things are moving in the right direction.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free