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NYSE:UBER
They're face increased regulation around the world, like battles over employees' minimum wage and worker safety--they're losing these legal battles. Also, there's fierce competition. It's never been a profitable company and he doesn't see profits ahead. A risk of paying their drivers more, which will eat into profits.
UBER's sales and earnings have been improving and its outlook is decent, with sales growth of ~17% expected over the next few years and strong earnings growth. Its debt levels are creeping higher, with a debt-to-equity of 1.1 and net debt/EBITDA of 3.6X. Profit margins are improving and it generated a strong level of free cash flow over the past 12 months. Its cash position of $5.5B is strong and its valuation is OK with a forward sales multiple of 2.2X and forward earnings of 30.5X. We feel that the momentum has shifted for UBER and it is now picking up momentum in its earnings leverage. We feel that if sales and earnings growth continue to grow as expected in the coming years that this name can perform quite well.
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An analyst reiterated it a top pick today at a $55 price target. Shares have been rallying this year, up 50% in 3 months. He targets $65, an all-time high. Profitability is the story. Note that there's an economic contraction in Europe, so we don't see the strength of Uber's international. If this joins the S&P, it will benefit Uber like it did Tesla. They have dramatically improved the balance sheet and their culture. Stay patient and this will reward you.
He's holding it long-term and it should be okay, but it's not a great stock in this environment, because high-growth stocks don't do well during high rates. Can be volatile.