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United Parcel ServicesUPSTOP PICKOct 27, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Owns UPS instead, and it's good that FedEx that both are focusing on profitability. She prefers UPS for having more density in its ground business and more tied to e-commerce which will remain strong. UPS is exposed to Amazon, which some feel is a risk, but she doesn't anymore, because Amazon can't invest more in infrastructure anymore.
There is a really strong seasonal period for this company. Since 2000 to 2016 on average, it has underperformed the S&P 500 annually. However, in the small window from Oct 10 to Dec 8, it has averaged 8% and outperformed the S&P 500 88% of the time. You want to be in it before everybody else gets in, so you get in early. If you are into Short Selling, then you want to Short this from Dec 9 to March 1. Dividend yield of 2.8%. (Analysts’ price target is $125.)