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NYSE:YUM
(Top Pick Sep 9/14, Up 14.87%) KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell. 30% of earnings come from the US and the rest is outside of the US, 40% from China. The emerging middle class has increasing demand for quick serve. They do home delivery of KFC through Pizza Hut. They are now focusing on India. It is a play on emerging markets.
Their struggles with chicken quality in China have been well documented. The flipside of the story is an enormous opportunity. With 1.5 billion people, they have a big opportunity. Has an attractive yield and a decent management team. He is looking for more of a pullback in order to add to his position.
The parent company of Pizza Hut, Taco Bell and KFC. They are really focused on China, and it has been working. In their revenues today, $7 billion comes from China compared to $3 billion from the US. Future growth is going to be China as well and he sees upside there. The challenge is, what are you willing to pay for this. Trading around 40X, which is a little rich for him.
She still likes this and has been buying for new clients. She buys this because of the expanding middle-class in China. About 35% of their profits come from China. Stock has had kind of a rough year because there have been supplier issues into China stores, which has hurt their traffic into the stores. Thinks this will recover. It usually does, but just takes a bit of time.
(A Top Pick Dec 23/13. Up 7.59%.) Has been a tough year in China. Had bought this for the Asian exposure, and they are really expanding quickly. They had problems with the food distribution system over there and there was a big clamp down. Great growth in this name and he thinks there is a lot of opportunity. They are now moving into India.
Earnings came out after the closing bell. They missed by a couple of pennies and their revenue line was slightly weaker. She believes in the long-term secular story of the expanding middle class in China. Penetration of restaurants per million of population is very low compared to developed markets. China is 35% of this company’s earnings. India is their next growth target.
Had some issues which affected the traffic temporarily, but it did recover. Indicated their traffic is going to be down but is improving. This creates opportunities to Buy. China’s consuming middle-class of 300 million people is going to grow to 600 million by 2020. Also, focusing on growing in India. Casual dining is very low in these areas. Yield of 2.05%.
52% of this company’s revenues come from China. The stock is trading at about 22X forward earnings with 12% long-term growth, giving it a 1.8 PEG ratio. Has a 2% dividend. Trading right at the 200 day moving average and where it goes from here is going to be interesting. Because of its relationship to China and its dependence on revenues from China he would stay away for the time being. Long-term it makes a lot of sense.