Gold.Continues to be a massive Bull on gold because the bottom line is developed nations globally are effectively bankrupt. We are going to have a new monetary system in the world and gold is going to play a part in it.
Things are getting a little frothy. Some areas of the market are over valued. He is a balanced investor. Biased to large caps. Dividend streams are going to be a key component to returns.
If ECB wasn’t there or Germany wasn’t there there wouldn’t be much demand for Spanish bonds, Market is telling you there you won’t get back 100 cents on the dollar. There is definitely going to be a hair cut. Most of investors in these countries are the banks. He would stay out of Europe until it settles down.
Has been fairly positive on stocks as long as we have the economy continuing to improve and interest rates staying low. Earnings will be good but not as good as last year. Very excited about tech stocks. Generally looks for large cap, but in some funds he focuses on Mid to Small cap companies.
The market got a little toppy. You have profit taking. The fundamentals in the US are getting a little better. We will be in the same choppy market after this correction. Interest rates are stagnating low and should continue. He is going to stick with commodities as well as find some non-commodity stocks.
Any credit event or risk of a credit event will trigger a market pull back. It is most applicable when you are evaluating companies with a lot of debt. He gravitates to companies with very strong balance sheets, often debt free. Reasonably bullish on equities. There are risks, but equities are not particularly expensive and interest rates are low.
US banks: are less expensive than Canadian. But the valuation is probably appropriate. Watch out because they raised so much equity there is a possibility of dividend increases this year and that could be a catalyst for stock price increases. Prefers Canadian Banks and thinks everyone should own one.
India vs. China this year: The dominant theme is the efforts to curb inflation in both countries. Both countries have political risks. He doesn’t own their stocks at this point. Would wait for a pull back in those two markets before buying their stocks. If they ‘blow’ the control over their economies, money will move to the Americas and your investments there will benefit.
It’s just a correction. Nothing does go straight up forever. It is pretty normal to see a bit of a pullback and some profit taking. It’s a bit surprising that it’s the first week of the new year. Gold’s decline is more of a dollar story as it has not declined as much in terms of Euros. QE II will help in the first half of the year and then it could slow down a bit in the second half. If the jobs haven’t come through by mid-year, then you could see a more substantial pullback.
This is the time of year for small caps. In the resource side in the 4th quarter small caps did well. In non-resource, there are a lot of yield plays are switching from income trusts to regular corporations. He thinks there are a lot of under-valued/under-followed companies there. E.g. CGX-T, but there is a weak quarter coming first.
Markets. Expects to see the TSX at $15,000 this year and the S&P 500 close to $1,290-$1,300. Gold is more a speculative metal now rather than an inflation hedge and he doesn’t expect much from it but there are positive stories out there in exploration and development companies.