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A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

PAST TOP PICK
Solectron corp- (Top pick, April 19, 2007. Up 17%) Could go up over $30. A huge company with good management. Would like to see the debt come down a bit more
COMMENT
Income trusts and REIT’s- Would be happy capitalizing on distributions for the next couple of years. Come 2011 these income trusts could become corporations again, don’t worry about it.
TOP PICK
Cash- Defensive. There’s going to be a huge buying opportunity for commodities later in the year or 2009, this will be pre-empted by a big drop. There are big problems in the U.S, and it will take time to work itself out. Be in cash so you can pick up stocks when things get really cheap.
COMMENT
Real estate outlook- Can’t recommend an ETF or index fund. Benchmark the large pension plans for a real estate allocation.
COMMENT
Purchasing your first REIT- Suggest RIOCAN. Largest REIT in Canada, very defensive asset class and retail. Very large and liquid.
COMMENT
Owning REIT’s in an RSP- Doesn’t make a lot of sense from a taxation perspective. If your looking to maximize your total returns from your RSP then adding real estate to it does make sense.
WAIT
U.S REIT’s- U.S REIT’s are slightly undervalued at these levels, a very volatile market. Have been a seller in the very recent past. Be patient and wait for April-July to buy.
WEAK BUY
GC/J8- Have no idea what gold will do in the future. Gold will go up over the next 5 years, will be a good investment.
BUY
Gld-us: Mimics the price of gold. Gold has some very strong long-term fundamentals.
TOP PICK
GLD.US- Entry point of $90. This is a pure play. No leverage involved.
DON'T BUY
ISHARES Aerospace- Not a believer in ISHARES. Would rather pick individual names out there. United Technologies is one of the best in this sector.
TOP PICK
330 HK- 70% of business is in Europe. Their costs are in Hong Kong currency, and their revenue is in Euros.
COMMENT
Movement of money- cautious about using book value as a value indicator. In a declining environment when companies are losing money the book value can deteriorate rather quickly.
PARTIAL BUY
SI/K8- Like silver much more than gold. There’s a huge physical shortage of silver. There are very few equity plays to invest in silver. Do like this space a lot. Prefers PAN American.
COMMENT
Rumours become reality, LeManns is the next one to be attacked. Thinks we are in serious trouble. Doesn't expect recover in 2008. He's usually very much a bull.
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