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A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

WAIT
Good ROE levels. Growth is coming from both volume and margins. Internal growth, for the 1st time in 20 years, higher than the banks. However, as the economics slows, he can see weakening in profit growths. (See Inco (N-T) comments.).
COMMENT
Trusting and they are offering .5 of a trust unit, .333 of an option to acquire of Alberta Clipper and .333 option to acquire Ember or recieve an exchangable share of Thunder Energy. A very complex deal. Feels the combination is worth somewhere between $9./10 a share. He will probably sell it and convert all to the trust or maybe sell it before the closing of thedeal/
TOP PICK
Trades on the Amsterdam stock exchange. (Your broker can handle this for you.) World's largest harbour dredging and construction firm. Big global demand for their services. Have a lot of cash which may be used to pay out a bigger dividend.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 23/05. Down 12%.) Missed their numbers in Q1 and it is being taken over by Cyries Energy (CYS-T) and shareholders will have a quarter of Cyries shares plus a piece of the new exploratory company. Cotinue to Hold.
TOP PICK
Now producing 7,090 BOE's a day. Had a deep oil discovery, on a 2 week test basis, producing 1,500 BOE's a day and will come on at 500. Feels they will exit the year north of 7,500 BOE's a day.
HOLD
Converting into a trust. They're into a great market and have had a great run for the last few years. Should still have a bit of a run. Be wary of any pullback in housing.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
From an earnings growth standpoint and from a multiples standpoint it has some attractions. One of his favourites in the metals, but would rather buy it around $20
DON'T BUY
The combined entity Noranda (NRD-T) and Falconbridge (FL-T) will give a lot of exposure to copper and nickel which are at their cyclical peaks right now. Management didn't do that well in the last up cycle.
TOP PICK
Was doing about 70% gas and 30% oil, but have made a number of acquisitions and had an oil discovery that tested 800 barrels and producing it at 500 barrels a day. Will probably be 50/50 on oil & gas by the end of the year. Expects cash flow by the end of the year of $2.75.
BUY
Doesn't have the combined balance sheet of Noranda/Falconbridge (FL-T), but does own Noranda. Has a model price is $28.39 on Noranda, so it's a 35% differential.
TOP PICK
Doing a very complicated deal that will see it merge with a number of juniors and a couple of exploration companies will be spun out. The market didn't like the deal very much as it was complex, hard to understand, hard to figure what the value is. All the pieces put together are worth something like $10 a share. Good buy at this price. Hold for only a few months.
BUY
Looking at copper 2/3 years out, he is bullish and just initiated a position in Aur Resources (AUR-T) and are looking at both Constellation Copper (CCU-T) and Noranda (NRD.LV-T).
BUY
Conversion into an income trust, coalbed methane company and an exploration comapny is very interesting. In a worse case scenerio, if the trust has to yield 15%, that puts a $6 value on it and if the coalbed methane and exploreco sell at 1 X net asset value, you get to $7.54 which means it's fully priced. A more realistic scenario is the trust has a $6.67 value and 2 X for the other 2 would get you to $9. Interesting speculation. Looking at it very carefully.
BUY
Sold interest to Epcor (EPE.PR.A-T) which should be very beneficial to them. Well managed. Has a lot of accretive growth. High level of net income to distributions. Very conservative.
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