A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

COMMENT
General investing advice. The best companies tend to be well liked. When an industry goes through consolidation, some heavyweights come out in a much better position than the competition. Use stop losses on every position. Stay in the position as long as it's working. Once it breaks, come out.
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Investment strategy with the Liberal win. Fed politics in Canada doesn't move the investment needle all that much. The real focus is the Fed, inflation, the debt ceiling, valuations, and more recently what's happening in Beijing.
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Potential taxation on Canadian banks. They're looking for revenue. This is one way to start. There's a view they could be put on the naughty list. The banks always have some headwinds. Dividends are fabulous. Valuations are still below the norm, though a bit higher than they've been. There are catalysts for them. It's good that there's some antagonism toward the sector. It might come down a bit, but the banks are still long-term wealth builders.
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Energy stocks. Not overweighting them. It will take 30-40 years to wind down. Manipulated globally with Saudis and Russia. The supply/demand picture looks good right now for nat gas. He favours companies that tilt toward nat gas and they're still very cheap, underappreciated, and underowned. Some of the oil companies fit that description too, though he's a little less certain about the price of crude. Oil seems to have found its footing around $60-80, and there are some good names in oil land as well.
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How do companies such as banks get employee talent to move to big cities? We're in a changing world. Employers are embracing that people can work from anywhere. Working in person is important, as are having connection points. The virtual world is getting better and better.
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Favourite REITs. CRR.UN sets up beautifully from a growth to valuation perspective. BAM looks really good, though it's not a real estate play per se. AP.UN is pricey, but the growth is really there. SRU.UN has a nice distribution and looks good from a price to growth level.
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Oil stocks. IMO is not one he follows too closely. If you're comfortable with the commodity of oil, try SU or CNQ. Both have nice dividends and are really cheap compared to their history.
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Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The US market metrics are showing overvalued for some time now. Globalization and big revenues has skewed this metric now. It is hard to time the market and as long as revenues remain strong, the markets should do alright. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

COMMENT
China's president and Jay Powell made announcements today that they knew would lift markets today (by 1%). The Fed won't raise rates yet until more people, especially the poor, find jobs. He likes this. Critics though think Powell is blind to rising inflation. Cramer doesn't care about the critics, but Fed has the power, that Powell doesn't have to listen to this critics. President Xi of China is cracking down on sectors like real estate (Evergrande) in order to reduce the gulf between China's rich and poor. Last night, Xi agreed to bail out these businesses instead of letting them die, this halting the spread of economic contagion.
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Educational Segment. The more the election outcome is tilted to Liberal Minority with big support from the NDP, which tilts policies to the left, this will lead to more wealth taxes. There are many seats in GTA that are too close to call so it is still a toss up. Projections remain for a Liberal minority. He wouldn't change portfolio strategy based on this. If the NDP wins a good amount of seats, then there could be more selling in stocks due to upcoming taxes. There will also be increasing corporate tax rates if the NDP has more power.
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There were a couple Fed presidents that were short term trading based on policy moves. The Feds are a moral hazard. They cause tremendous amounts of distortion including run ups in debt and credit markets. The spreads should not be this tight either. Not a big fan of what central banks have done in markets. Will probably continue to see the same. The alternative is to not step up, kind of like China with its real estate market and Evergrand right now.
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If you look at the banking index, it is in a trading range and the Chinese real estate risk is not a broader risk to the market. It is starting to get priced in to this. There has been extreme central bank intervention since decades.
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Market. After the election he thinks it will be business as usual. Investors should remain cautious and conservative in their investing strategy. He has shied away from the re-opening trade. Those sectors are already correcting. He prefers renewable energy and telecom, consumer staples and energy infrastructure stocks. He tends to outperform during a downturn.
COMMENT

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. On a valuation standpoint, the Canadian market looks more attractive. But this has been the case for a while. There are more options in the US with high growth. Opportunity probably still remains in Canada. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

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