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A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

COMMENT
Energy names for dividends. Canadian utilities are such as ENB and TRP yield around 5.5-6%. Also consider that if you're a Canadian resident holding dividends in taxable accounts, there's the dividend tax credit. US charges withholding taxes on US dividends. GEI is also a name he owns, with a higher yield.
COMMENT

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. What is the P/E Ratio? The price-to-earnings ratio, or otherwise known as the “P/E” ratio, is a financial metric commonly used to measure how expensive a stock is compared to its earnings. The ratio can be rephrased as the amount that an investor is willing to pay for every $1 of earnings for a specific company. The ratio involves two components; the first is the ‘P’ portion, which is the current price per share of the stock, and the second is the ‘E’ portion, which is the Earnings Per Share (EPS) of the stock. For example: if Stock A has a current price per share of $30, and an EPS of $1, then the P/E ratio is 30X (calculated as: $30 Price / $1 EPS = 30X P/E). To maintain a stable P/E ratio over time, the price must appreciate at the exact same rate as the earnings per share. For instance, for the P/E to remain at 30X in the next year, if the share price increases by 10% from $30 to $33, then the EPS must also increase by 10% from $1 to $1.1 (calculated as $33 Price / $1.1 EPS = 30X P/E). Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

COMMENT
Investors have grown numb to the Russia-Ukraine war... We've seen a strong start to the year, including small caps. However, the last third of January is usually weaker than the rest of the month, when earnings happen. Investors were piling in in recent days before earnings, but we haven't seen consecutive days of increases which is a worry.
COMMENT
silver Silver performs from late-December into March. The chart shows this could return to 52-week highs. If the market moves back into technology, then silver will weaken. If not, then silver will rise.
COMMENT

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Understanding time. Arguably the most common mistake investors make (aside from not taking the appropriate amount of risk) is not factoring in their time horizon when making an investment decision. A general rule of thumb to follow is that higher risk investments require a longer time horizon to realize their return potential and in the short-to-medium term, it may be a bumpy ride. This is important to understand as many investors sell out of an investment too early because they are not seeing the results they expect in the short term. Stocks fluctuate for various reasons on a day-to-day or even month-to-month basis that have little to do with a company’s underlying business performance or fundamentals. Often times it requires patience for the fundamentals to reflect in a company’s stock price. Understanding your time horizon is also essential as it largely determines how much risk one can take and what kind of assets are most relevant to own. Finally, your time horizon is ultimately a reflection of your goals and when you want to achieve them. Remembering this helps one avoid straying from their investment strategy. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

COMMENT
The concerns that affected the markets in 2022 are still around for 2023, but improving. Looking forward, inflation is moderating on a monthly basis and interest rates should peak this year. Also the economic slowdown along with improvement in supply chain issues means that supply and demand will be more in equilibrium. Even the shortages in semi-conductors are moderating. Valuations are cheap so it is a great time for investors to step in. A global slowdown is here and it will be muted growth at the very least. Government debt is massive but most of it was issued at very low interest rates for many years so we should not feel the real impact of this debt for a while. Deficits are moderating but still hefty. Rising inflation means debt to GDP will moderate possibly faster than thought. Corporate profits will be lower year over year and rebound in 2024.
COMMENT
The question was on high yield bonds. Yields are in the 8% range and it is a short term asset class. There are occasional defaults. It is important to diversify and include hedging so you should own an ETF with at least 50 companies. Be conservative with fixed income investments.
COMMENT
The question was on gold. He has never owned a gold stock, nor has Warren Buffet. He feels gold has never really been a good hedge against inflation. 90% of it is used for jewellery. He prefers to buy solid companies with growing dividends and earnings. He doesn't like Bitcoin either.
COMMENT
The question was on CDR's for U.S. large cap companies. They may track differently and he would prefer to own the underlying stocks without the hedging. There is a fee but it is not excessive.
COMMENT
He likes retailers in Canada rather than the U.S. Three companies that come to mind are Loblaw, Dollarama and ATD, all of which have great consistent growth.
COMMENT
Believes corporate earnings are most important factor going forward. Slow economic growth as markets react to interest rate hikes. Rising interest rates will continue to compress valuations. Expecting 12-16 month lag in valuations from hawkish US Fed policy.
COMMENT
Tech valuations have fallen a lot, certainly compared to a year ago, but they remain higher than the S&P's 17x PE. You can still buy these names at lower prices. He's neutral tech, but prefers more profitable Cisco and Oracle.
COMMENT
Alphabet just announced layoffs--bad news is good news in this market Remember there's been a ton of hiring previously by these megatech companies but mostly for special priority projects. Yes, layoffs will impact morale at these companies, but will not cut into company growth, and ROI will remain positive in coming years. Layoffs now are a right-sizing of staff.
COMMENT

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Compounding and Exponential Growth. Compounding is essentially the same concept as exponential growth, and can be very beneficial to investors. An example of compounding using finances is the idea that if one were to double a penny every day for 30 days consecutively, the end result would be roughly $5,400,000. The interesting thought experiment with this example is that now knowing the end result is $5,400,000, naturally one would assume that the individual would have roughly $2,700,000 by the mid-point at day 15. However, the investor would have only accrued $164 by day 15. The lesson is that consistent investment returns can add up if given enough time. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

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