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NASDAQ:AAPL
The stock has been pulling back. Smart phone penetration in developed markets is already very high. In the emerging markets, where there is more competition, there are very little phone subsidies. Their phones are quite expensive, so they are not seeing the pickup in demand there. Next quarter might be a bit soft. The catalyst may be when their new phone comes out next year. This is transitioning from a growth company to more of a value stock.
Sold his holdings recently at about $100. Over the last little while, has realized that iPhone sales growth is starting to wane a little. Representing 2/3 of the revenues, he believes that is a bit of an issue. Valuation wise it is still very cheap, trading at around 10 or 11 times forward earnings. Has lots of cash on the books and paying a dividend, but thinks penetration in China is not as strong as people had hoped. Also, on the next iteration of iPhones, are people going to line up and is it going to be as successful as the previous ones.
At these levels, this is a value play. We have become accustomed to thinking of this as a mega-growth story, but a lot has changed over the last few years. They’ve grown considerably in terms of their market share. When you have grown market share as quickly as they have, you are not really a growth story the way that you used to be, you are much more of a mature business. Feels it has to go through a PR exercise of communicating that to the market. One good way of doing that would be by beefing up the dividend. Dividend yield of 2.36%.
A bit conflicted on this. It is a business that is finding its way into being a mature technology company. Most mature technology companies don’t get attributed with a very high multiple on a PE basis. They have oodles of cash on their balance sheet. Have started a program of paying a dividend and increasing it. However, what is lacking is their ability to innovate the way they once did. You’ll probably have to be patient with this. Prefers others.
Thinks the Bears have it wrong on this company. The company will survive even if they had to keep selling 50 million iPhones every quarter. What is being missed is the IOS, their software ecosystem where there are probably 1 billion users worldwide right now. They are generating applications and uses of recurring revenue.
(A Top Pick Aug 26/15. Down 2.3%.) After the latest quarter, the obituary has been retracted for now. This is a company and a stock that everyone has an opinion on. It is a highly bifurcated view in that they really love it, or don’t like it at all. You have to remember that this is a company that has been adopted by a great many people as their way of adopting the mobile experience. Thinks that iPhone 7 coming this fall, will be very, very successful. Valuation is extremely attractive, 30% of their market capitalization is in cash, and it is trading at a single digit multiple.