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NASDAQ:AAPL
Can’t disagree that they have great products and that they have executed incredibly well. Not an expensive stock. Make almost 40%-50% of their revenue from one product, the smart phone. Have not come out with any game changers for the last little while. Unless they come out with some game changing it is much more financial engineering they are doing, such as buying back stock and increasing their dividend.
Sometimes it is hard to stick with what is working. Just about to release a new iPhone. There is growth in the BRIC countries. They have the watch device. There is a JV to provide enterprise services. It is behaving very well and has strong dividend growth and strong free cash flow. Great balance sheet.
(A Top Pick July 17/13. Up 61.67%.) Had a 7 for 1 stock split. Thinks the market has refocused. Has gone from euphoria when the iPhones were being introduced, followed by the doldrums when people were pricing the company for extinction. We are now moving back towards the euphoria phase with a new product cycle that is about to hit us. There will probably be an iWatch. Have returned $78 billion to shareholders in the last 1.5 years. Have another $50 billion or so, to satisfy their commitment. Thinks the stock can go higher from here. Still represents excellent value.
She got out of it because the handset business was commoditized. They split their stock and are buying some back. There is some momentum on the release of new products. Don’t buy because it is close to all time highs. The old tech stocks are rather mature so she recognizes that much of their growth is behind them. Social media stocks are hard to buy for a value investor.
Google (GOOGL-Q) or Apple (AAPL-Q)? Given this choice, he would pick Google. On a balance sheet level, etc., they are very similar. Google is a software company whereas Apple gets about 60% of their revenue off of one product, the iPhone. There has not been a real product from them for a long, long time. Also, this company has gone up a lot more, but that has to do more with financial engineering, as opposed to anything else.
Compared this with the QQQ-Q on a 3-year chart, and it showed Apple as a huge Outperform in 2012. Gap was closed in 2013, but is now again trying to outperform. Keep an eye on that peak in 2012, which seems to be the target for it. He would be careful. It could be a double top. You want it to clear the high of 2012, by at least 5% on a weekly basis, to confirm that it has broken out to new highs.
Thinks they are really changing their whole structure. Took over the music thing of Dr. Dre about a month ago. They are forming into some kind of an entertainment company, and is completely different than it was a year ago. They are now paying a dividend, and we have always known that when it comes to tech companies paying dividends; it means they don’t know what to do with their cash. Maybe there is not a big R&D component anymore.
He has been a long time holder of this stock. Even though it is at an all-time high, if you look at the fundamentals it is not expensive. They are spinning off a tremendous amount of cash. Post Steve Jobs they have done a 180 in terms of capital allocation. Very, very shareholder friendly by buying back shares at a rate of about 6% float per year. This is an all round good investment.