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Amazon.com, Inc.AMZNCOMMENTOct 19, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Compounder. Have to hold your nose to buy at current valuations, but you only have to look 2-3 years down the road to get to a more comfortable valuation. AWS is a driver, and AI will really come to the fore over the next 2 years. Invested heavily in e-commerce, and it's starting to see some profitability, juggernaut of the future.
Excellent company with strong assets in cloud computing and Amazon Web Services. eCommerce also continuing to preform well. Participated in "Magnificent 7 Rally". Has been earnings estimates the past 3 quarters. Increased demands in A.I. will contribute to demand in web services. Profit margins are exceptional in software. Will continue to hold. Believes growth is sustainable and will continue.
It is the biggest player in e-commerce and has a variety of products. Soon it can even sell cars. Also it is growing its cloud business. In addition it has a huge advertising business which is competing with Google and others. It has cut back on costs and is well structured.
Hold or Sell?If you are holding it, you are buying it. There is no question there is a tremendous amount of growth ahead. It’s very hard to justify valuation. While he has confidence that e-commerce penetration is going to increase very gradually from 9%-10% in the US, when you look at their valuation it is difficult to justify how much earnings are going to have to grow for the valuation to come down to a market multiple. Trades at about 110X next year’s earnings. If you take that market multiple and bring it down to a multiple of about 20, that implies earnings are going to have to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 48% over 10 years. Very few companies have been able to do that.