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NASDAQ:AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

243.01
-1.38 (0.56%)
as of Jun 18, 2026, 11:59:51 pm Market Open.
610 watching
0
HOLD

One of their top 3 holdings. It has been disappointing over the last few months. His price target is $2300. The company is difficult to pin down as it continues to disrupt other industries. It is much like Google. The cash cow part of the business is their cloud service segment. A stock to sit on and wait.

TOP PICK
Continues to gain share in retail and other business. One day delivery has been a huge success. Doesn't see anything stopping them. Leader in the cloud business. It's expensive but the cash flow is catching up with the stock price very quickly. May go flat for a year or two but the cash flow will push the stock higher again. (Analysts’ price target is $2178.99)
SELL
Sold out recently. Great long term, but doesn't want to be there right now. Dead money for a while. Earnings have come down quite a bit. Lots of investment in moving to 1-day Prime and getting that going. Stock hasn't done well in the last year or so. Underperforming since mid 2018.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 14/18, Up 11%) It is still in the Top 5 for him and he has a target of $2300. The retail sector is primed for growth and they are involved in cloud technology. Their subscription segment is growing and it is paying off, allowing more consistent and growing revenues.
TOP PICK
They have 30% annual growth and have for years. It does not look like anyone can knock them off their perch. A must hold in every portfolio. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $2194.83)
TOP PICK
Synthetic long Amazon Buy 1800 call that expires Jan. 2021 at $224, sell 1800 put -$193, net $31/share, so $51 cost out of pocket. Amazon is the best consumer play around.
TOP PICK
Everyone's concerned. Very expensive at 36x. The e-commerce platform continues to grow. Growth of cloud and other sectors as well. He sees it grow more slowly in the near term but will perform over time.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 07/18, Up 1%) Costs have gone up for 1-day shipping. Name is strong, clould business is strong. Prime members expected to grow. Long runway for growth as it grows outside North American markets. Risks include spending and regulatory changes. He owns it, but is keeping a close eye on it.
DON'T BUY
He sees potential for further growth. Its book value is $107 -- about 1/10th of its price. A recession would hurt this stock badly. The upside is far less than the potential downside. Their growth will be impacted by the upcoming recession. He would avoid this one.
DON'T BUY
The technicals behind the FAANGs are poor, rolling over. Amazon's PE is 57x, while PB is 15x--very expensive. The market has been holding but this has been slipping lower. The FAANGs have had their day in the sun.
BUY

AMZN-Q vs. MSFT-Q. He owns MSFT-Q so does not prefer AMZN-Q. AMZN-Q he is looking at. They have so many opportunities such as healthcare. They are building their revenues at the 15-20% range.

WATCH
Difficult to analyze. Successful, but how good is the stock? Trillion dollar market cap, and revenues grow at 20% year over year. Bezos reinvests in the business. Trading at multiples that make no sense. They just want to grow, and they've done a fantastic job. Wants more clarity on revenue and cash flow growth before he'd buy.
BUY
Impressive that they build an e-retailer then AWS--both are growing rapidly. If Washington orders them to break up those divisions, then AWS is a strong enough standalone business.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 02/18, Up 5%) He still likes it and would buy it. It's THE growth company. A must-own. They continue to dominate the cloud business.
COMMENT

Two completely different horses. Amazon is more innovative so it could have higher growth, but Microsoft has new upgrades, new contracts and is more stable. He wouldn't own either because FANGS make up about 20% of the index funds, so they will go down more than the others. Would buy half a position and add more depending. On a risk basis, it's too exposed to the overall market.

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