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Aecon Group IncARE.TOCOMMENTMay 03, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.
Last August, they had some writedowns based on fixed-price contracts in various places. The shares came off. They sold their stake in the Bermuda Airport at a great price, and sold a road-building division. Also good is that they may build a full-scale nuclear reactor in Ontario; they have nuclear expertise. Pays a 6% dividend. A quality company with little risk.
Finally some good news for them--sold 49.9% stake in the Bermuda airport (finally), and they just sold their Ontario road construction business. Are in much stronger financial position. Four legacy contracts at a fixed price will run out end-2023/early-2024. After that will be strong margin expansion. Pays around a 6% dividend and trades at a good PE vs. peers.
(Analysts’ price target is $16.09)They had fixed-cost contracts with cost overruns and shares fell last year. Turned around this year, though, by selling stake in a Bermuda airport and road-building business. Demand for their work continues to grow. Likes this long-term. Yields 5.6%. Good long-term. Those fixed-cost contracts will recover in time.
(Analysts’ price target is $16.20)The engineering and construction sector has really been impacted by cost inflation. Lots of problems with fixed-price contracts, will take time to go through the system, and so the repricing cycle is longer. Be cautious. Layer in, don't weight over 5%. You don't want to be all in if sentiment is going to tick down.
This will get its fair share of infrastructure spending that governments are planning on. They do a lot of business in the mining and oil/gas business. Thinks it is going to be a very difficult environment for manufacturing and infrastructure that is not government related. He is somewhat apprehensive about this company being able to grow its earnings, because of the weakness in the energy patch. Even if this recovers, it is going to be a long time before there are major investments, as companies are going to have to pay back their debts first.