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Aecon Group IncARE.TOCOMMENTJul 27, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.
Last August, they had some writedowns based on fixed-price contracts in various places. The shares came off. They sold their stake in the Bermuda Airport at a great price, and sold a road-building division. Also good is that they may build a full-scale nuclear reactor in Ontario; they have nuclear expertise. Pays a 6% dividend. A quality company with little risk.
Finally some good news for them--sold 49.9% stake in the Bermuda airport (finally), and they just sold their Ontario road construction business. Are in much stronger financial position. Four legacy contracts at a fixed price will run out end-2023/early-2024. After that will be strong margin expansion. Pays around a 6% dividend and trades at a good PE vs. peers.
(Analysts’ price target is $16.09)They had fixed-cost contracts with cost overruns and shares fell last year. Turned around this year, though, by selling stake in a Bermuda airport and road-building business. Demand for their work continues to grow. Likes this long-term. Yields 5.6%. Good long-term. Those fixed-cost contracts will recover in time.
(Analysts’ price target is $16.20)The engineering and construction sector has really been impacted by cost inflation. Lots of problems with fixed-price contracts, will take time to go through the system, and so the repricing cycle is longer. Be cautious. Layer in, don't weight over 5%. You don't want to be all in if sentiment is going to tick down.
A very consistent company over time, and construction is relatively consistent. This is all about their future book. They have debt outstanding. Sometimes the market gets really worried that they have debt, but he thinks it is a very solvent company. It seems hard for the company to grow dramatically, so in really bad times, he is able to buy the bonds with about an 8% yield. Any time the stock is $9-$10, it is interesting, but on a risk/reward basis, where he can buy the bond at 8% it is an incredible way to invest. He just sold his bonds which he felt were fully valued.