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Stockchase Opinions

Jordan ZinbergA&W Revenue Royalties Income FundAW.UN.TOCOMMENTJan 15, 2024

It has a yield of 5.9% which is safe. It is not growthy enough for him since he is looking for 20% growth per year. However it is a steady company with a decent chart

$32.74

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$36.93

As of Oct 17, 2024. Market Open.

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BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

AW.UN is a fundamentally strong fund, and is primarily an income stock. It has a yield of 5.8%, has grown its distributions by 3% annually over the past 10 years, and is reasonably valued at these levels. We feel that investors have opted to purchase 'risk-free' cash investments that have a similar yield to AW.UN, but much less risk given the changing interest rate environment. Although, we don't believe that this trend will last forever, and AW.UN has more upside potential than money market funds. For an investor looking for yield and a stable cashflow-generating business, we like AW.UN here and feel that it's at a good valuation today. 
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BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

AW.UN is now trading at 16x times' P/E. In the 2Q, AW.UN’s royalty income grew 4.8% to $12.8M compared to last year of $12.2M and same-store sales growth remains positive at 2.5%. Distributable cash per unit grew slightly 3.5% to $0.497, compared to last year of $0.48. The balance sheet is okay, with net debt of $35M. Total debt is around 1.3x times trailing twelve-month cash flow of $27M. AW.UN’s growth is quite resilient, the company has demonstrated pricing power in inflationary periods in recent years to maintain profit margins.

Compared to the industry, AW.UN is quite attractive, trading at only 16x, with consistently positive same-store sales growth and store openings. Unlike other restaurants, AW.UN did not make any recent acquisitions, and most of the earnings are paid out as distributions. We expect the company will continue to raise distributions due to the resilience in the franchise and its track record of value creation.
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BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Negative sales growth, but improving. Distribution on path to being restored. Larger base of stores for recovery. Share fairly valued with attractive yield.
WATCH
Fast food faces rising supply and labour costs and maybe a weakening consumer, but that consumer may be trading to into fast food. Fast food tends to offer stable demand. This stock has come off a lot (QSR too). A&W pays a 5% dividend yield. An interesting company. He's patient and watching this.
WATCH
Nice recovery from Covid. Massive increases in price of raw materials and labour. Will they be able to increase margins? Will consumer be forced to come down market and boost their business? Yields are very attractive. After the recent run, all stocks should pull back, so he's watching the space.
BUY

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. They announced a two year pilot to introduce the Pret brand in its restaurants. It would offer customers an alternative and the brand is popular abroad. A good move overall to diversify. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

BUY

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Likes the name and would be fine adding to it at current levels. Is well positioned and the management team is good. Results were okay last quarter, all things considered. Worst is most likely over. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

HOLD
Stands out as one of the best run of the Canadian quick serves. Great growth strategy. Execute well. Hit by pandemic, but the dividend will come back. Short-term blip in a great long-term story. Hold it if you own it. Has potential to continue to surprise.
DON'T BUY
The payout ratio is bumping on 100%. It is reasonably priced but has rolled off to get here. He would be concerned about the dividend.
BUY

Will people be scared to eat out during the coronavirus scare? It's a great business. He likes the royalty model, because they can grow in a capital-lite fashion, meaning not beholden to huge capital expenditures. To increase stores, the franchisees pay for that, but they can't benefit from same-store sales growth. They're good at expanding locations and menu offerings that are popular and innovative like wild cod fillet and the Beyond Meat burger. The dividend is safe. Maybe the virus will effect them, but not for long and that will pressure only one quarterly report. Long run, no, the virus won't have an impact. After 9/11, people said no one will fly again, but years later, airlines were hot stocks.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 04/19, Down 15%) Any consumer stocks are terrible now. Don't buy then. However, now is seasonality, and the high dividends are attractive during volatile times. This failed to act as his hedge during volatility which upsetted him.
BUY
He likes A&W and royalties like these in general. A nice yield and good sales growth. They are marketing themselves as the healthy alternative fast food company. He thinks there are opportunities to expand further. Yield 5%
WEAK BUY
It's gone sideways with the meatless burger and a brilliant ad campaign, but competitors have caught up a lot. He owns a little only. It doesn't trade in big volumes though. He'd still buy it. They have good locations in places like airports. Pays a good dividend. A long-term investment. Also, A&W is conscious of ESG and has made green initiatives to attract younger customers and investors.
PARTIAL SELL
Used to own it until the valuation got too high. They've done a great job spinning out the real estate into a royalty stream. But this has gone parabolic this year as its growth has slowed. Take some profits. There's limited growth, but they are benefiting from declining interest rates. This doesn't make the top of his list of income streams. Pays a good dividend. Don't need to sell this, but don't need to buy it either.