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Bank of America (BAC-N) or Morgan Stanley (MS-N)? Thinks there is a lot more value in US banks than in Canadian banks. Doesn’t really have a preference between these 2. The US Bank ETF is a pretty good buy in here. What would really help you is to look at a stock chart and look at the 40 week or 200 day moving average and look where the stock is compared to that average, because it should supply some support.
Bank Of America or Wells Fargo? Bank of America has a spottier past with balance management and on risks that they have taken. He would defer to Wells Fargo. They have that core banking exposure . They are consumer focused. They have great leverage to a steeper yield curve and to an interest rate increase. They have less capital market exposure. More volatile, less sensitive to a interest rate increase which he feels is on the horizon. Would look to Bank of America if the fundamental came through and if the charts supported it.
A lot warmer to US banks than he is to Canadian ones. However, his interest in US banks is mostly regional banks, as opposed to big money centered banks. A lot of their earnings come from security markets. Interest rates are going to go up and he wants to benefit from the banks that will benefit more from that.
(A Top Pick May 13/15. Up 26.98%.) (A Call Option running to 2017.) This is a Leap. It is a story where he thinks you have a year and a half of this option. It is a leveraged play and is like buying a warrant on this bank. He likes the company and thinks they have most of their legal stuff behind them. There will be bumps along the way, which is why he is not interested in owning the stock. If this doubled, he would sell half and keep the rest.
Under Book Value, exposure to US housing and has 10% of US retail banking. Yield of 1.13% and will probably have a dividend increase coming in the next few months. It will also be a beneficiary of the higher rates that are coming in September or December. Probably goes into the $20s a year from now.
He is very pleased about financial services. This is finally working. He prefers J.P. Morgan (JPM-N), which is a much higher quality company, and he feels much more confident about its outlook versus this bank. Valuations are not that much different dollar for dollar. He owns the one which is actually paying dividends.
This is a great entry point. Very rarely can you look at a large cap like this, and pick it up at less than 10X earnings with the prospect of significant earnings growth. Thinks the EPS potential is $2. If you put a 10X multiple on that, you can easily get to $20. This is going to be loan growth and a combination of lower expenses that will really drive the EPS expansion he is expecting. Dividend yield of 1.24%.