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NYSE:BAC
Pretty much shied away from US money centered banks. Banks are really trading off a renewed confidence that everything is not going to fall apart. Really not a lot of growth from a revenue standpoint. Loan growth is anaemic although deposits are pretty strong, which means they are building their balance sheets. This is kind of a negative because they are ending up with larger bond portfolios. Really making their gains through cost cutting which is not a good reason to Buy. There will be a time for them, not just yet.
All of the earnings for the US banks are showing 2 things. On one side, all the big money center banks like this one, are showing some increased earnings, but the reason, in part, is that they are taking out reserves for bad loans. The economy has improved and now they are unwinding those reserves. It is not really core earnings improvement. They are also suffering from the new rules that will apply to their use of capital. He is somewhat neutral on these banks and prefers the European ones, which look a lot cheaper.
Preferred Citigroup (C-N) which was a little bit cheaper, trading at about 8.9X on a forward basis compared to this one at about 10X. Citigroup also has a more interesting upside on the dividend side when the Federal Reserve will give them the ability to increase their dividend. However, he likes the whole sector. As the economy and housing gets better, all the US banks should do well.
Prefers Exchange Traded Funds because they are not as risky as picking individual securities. Likes US banks and think they have more value than Canadian banks. Feels the US consumer has deleveraged and is going to go back to the bank and borrow money. He would prefer the BMO Equal Weight US Banks Hedged (ZUB-T) ETF.
Citigroup (C-N) or Bank of America (BAC-N)? Doesn’t own either one, but if she had to choose, it would be this one. Of the 30 banks checked by the federal government, 5 were rejected and Citigroup was one of them. This bank pays a dividend of $.04 per year, but they got approval to increase that to $0.20 a year. Also, got approval to buy back some stock. She owns Wells Fargo (WFC-N) which has a yield of 2.4% and got approval to increase their dividend by 17%, and as well increase their stock purchase plan for this year.
Keep in mind that at the beginning of the year, both this and Citigroup (C-N) popped up above his last line, which was EBV (Economic Book Value) negative 3, which he would call an investment strategy “coming out of the blue”. This signifies that finally the market is attaching some credibility to the balance sheet and the numbers that both of these banks are providing to the market. He has a model price of $20.50, which is a 19% upside.
Not the best bank in the world in regards to making mistakes in their capital ratio. Always being sued, which is a problem, but eventually that tails off. Trading at 8X Book Value and the US economy is growing, the housing market is completely recovered/recovering and the job market is recovering. Has been cheap for a long time.