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BlackBerryBB.TOCOMMENTApr 01, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 12, 2026. Market Open.
The guidance was weak, and BB faces numerous challenges. But the company is still undergoing a strategic review, following overtures for a takeover. This remains a possibility, but it is hard to endorse on that alone. Fundamentals remain weak and much worse than expected. The balance sheet is OK but its large cash cushion is gone. Cash flow has been negative the past two years. Speculative as a possible takeover, but not really endorseable as a long term holding right now.
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BB is now trading at 4.4x times' Price/Sales. In 4Q-2023, the company’s revenue declined by -18.4% to $151M, in line with the estimates and EPS is -$0.02, beating estimates of -$0.07. The balance sheet is okay, with net debt of $17M. However, the trailing twelve-month cash flow is concerning, as the company generated -$263M.
The company announced a strategic reveiw which has given shares some support but we wouldn't view it as coming from a posiiton of strength and are not sure we see a whole lot of reason to be excited here.
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One of the key decisions you should make on this is whether or not you should take a tax loss. If you have gains to write it off against, that could be prudent tax planning. He is a believer in the CEO, John Cheng, but also a believer that a turnaround takes a huge amount of time. Revenue has dropped 64%, which is scary, but at the same time costs were tremendously cut. Took a lot of write-offs again this past quarter and it wouldn’t surprise him if it happened again next quarter. Happy to hold it at this point given his Buy-In price.