BlackBerryBB.TOCOMMENTJun 06, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
The guidance was weak, and BB faces numerous challenges. But the company is still undergoing a strategic review, following overtures for a takeover. This remains a possibility, but it is hard to endorse on that alone. Fundamentals remain weak and much worse than expected. The balance sheet is OK but its large cash cushion is gone. Cash flow has been negative the past two years. Speculative as a possible takeover, but not really endorseable as a long term holding right now.
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BB is now trading at 4.4x times' Price/Sales. In 4Q-2023, the company’s revenue declined by -18.4% to $151M, in line with the estimates and EPS is -$0.02, beating estimates of -$0.07. The balance sheet is okay, with net debt of $17M. However, the trailing twelve-month cash flow is concerning, as the company generated -$263M.
The company announced a strategic reveiw which has given shares some support but we wouldn't view it as coming from a posiiton of strength and are not sure we see a whole lot of reason to be excited here.
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This has been sort of left in the dust by Android and IOS phones. It looks like they will stop making physical phones in the next couple of years as the market keeps getting smaller and smaller. However, John Chen has done a good job increasing the software and service revenue, which is where they want to be eventually. At some point the company will be turned around and sold at a good price. There will be more bumps before that happens.