
TSE:BCE
At current levels this is looking a little bit expensive. Has had a great run. Just put up a fantastic quarter, but there were some one-time items in the quarter that may not be recurring. Stock is still pretty attractive with about a 4.5% yield. There will still be some dividend growth on top of this of about 5%-7%. Wait for a pullback before buying.
Really had a nice beat today with $0.93 versus $0.84. Thinks the problem with the telecom space is that the whole area got bid up fairly highly. Trading at around 18X versus its 14X five-year average. He likes it and it has been doing really well, but it’s a name that he would add to on some sort of weakness.
Doesn’t own any Canadian telcos because there are several potential headwinds. Looking at wireless, LTE penetration has really peaked in Canada, so you are going to see many incremental pricing gains. Looking at the cable business, you are going to be challenged by cord cutting. This is a pretty invasive theme in the US. The free cash flow yield is 5% and you are going to get dividend growth. You are probably going to get a better entry point here.
If you are worried about markets and you think markets are going to continue to plunge for a very long time and fear is what is driving your investment philosophy, then this is one of those fairly defensive business models, and has a nice yield. It has done well over the last few years, and its valuation has crept up. He would suggest you try to find something that has been beaten up.
Longer-term this is definitely on an upward trend. Short-term there is a problem. The stock recently broke a downward pattern and is not acting very well. On a seasonal basis, historically this has done reasonably well in the summertime, but this year not so much. He would like to see confirming evidence that it is holding above the longer-term trend line. If it does that, look for an opportunity to accumulate sometime between now and the middle of October.
This is a slow growth, regulated and changing business. Stock price has come down a little off its highs and is pretty reasonable value. A very, very nice dividend. On Dec 16, Pick and Pay kicks in, which might put some pressure on the revenue line. This is probably part of the decline we have seen over the last year or so. He would prefer Rogers (RCI.B-T).
The environment we are heading into, with volatility picking up and a potential correction on the horizon, a name like this makes sense as part of an overall portfolio. One of the lowest beta stocks on the TSX. It is something you can live with in a time when volatility is picking up. Also, the smart phone penetration in Canada is well behind what it is in the US. Is that picks up, this company will benefit. Dividend yield of 4.85%.
He bought on the breakout at around $55. When you see a long base like this one had, followed by a break out, you should think about getting in. The chart shows lots and lots of upside. Has already seen a bit of a challenge near its old high of around $59. If it can break through $59, it will look pretty good. He is in it for the next number of months.