James HodginsBlack Diamond GroupBDI.TOBUYDec 29, 2011

EPS of $0.08 missed expectations of $0.086 and revenues of $91.1M beat estimates of $83.64M. This is the second consecutive quarter of disappointing results, and while it trades at a reasonable valuation of 13.3X forward earnings, its high and growing debt levels are a concern. Its valuation has been lower in the past, and so there is room for multiple contraction here. Given its high debt load and long-term declining earnings, we would feel comfortable taking some gains off the table here. With debt levels creeping higher, we feel this can begin to erode its profits and cash flow. 
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This had a big fall yesterday. Back in Feb/March this had a big Sell signal on his system. They couldn’t pay their dividend. It is probably going to have a long recovery time if it makes it.

(Market Call Minute) Earnings outlook has collapsed, but now they are turning around. An interesting speculation.

He owns it for the yield. They do camps and rentals for construction. They raised capital recently to expand their business in construction. It is a lot less volatile than the oil business. The oil and gas industry wants to put money back to work.

Modular housing. A really good business, but just in a bad space right now. You need activity for this business to do well. Thinks we are close to the bottom here. As soon as we see drilling come back there is going to be an appetite for their product.

Provides modular accommodation for the oil patch. With the Fort McMurray situation, demand is going to be pretty high for temporary housing. The stock had a huge pop following the fire, but underlying trends in the industry are still negative. The fire probably won’t change the needle a lot, but it will improve this year. It’ll still be negative. This is a temporary issue while Fort Mac builds. Until the underlying oil/gas situation improves, the long-term fundamentals are really not going to change. He would be a little cautious.

(A Top Pick May 25/15. Down 71.15%.) Trading at only 4.6X BV. They missed and the price momentum really rolled over, so he was forced to exit his position in August.

Provides accommodations at worksites. He likes to have the macros, financials and technicals to align. On the technicals, this doesn’t look good. They cut the dividend and it looks safe on the short term. Great management.

(A Top Pick May 25/15. Up 6.41%.) Camp providers for major LNG projects that are coming up. Holding in reasonably well given the backdrop of the energy market. Still scores in the top 5% on both momentum and valuation. Very solid balance sheet and a good 5.6% dividend yield. Trading at 7X EBITDA.