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British American TobaccoBTITOP PICKNov 16, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
A clear mean-reversion trade. Historically, it traded between 4.4-6.8. With its 9% yield, you only have to wait 8 years, and then every dollar earned is playing with the house's money. In a recession, income is a scarce commodity. Probably a buyback next year. Transitioning to consumables. You may not like its product, but it's good downside protection. Yield is 9.14%.
(Analysts’ price target is $44.94)
If you can get around buying into big tobacco, this is a dividend aristocrat. It pays an excellent dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. The company is developing innovative products to increase demand. Cash reserves are growing, it trades at 7x earnings and under book value. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $27, looking to achieve $42.50 -- upside potential of 34%. Yield 7.1%
(Analysts’ price target is $42.78)