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British American TobaccoBTIHOLDDec 15, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
A clear mean-reversion trade. Historically, it traded between 4.4-6.8. With its 9% yield, you only have to wait 8 years, and then every dollar earned is playing with the house's money. In a recession, income is a scarce commodity. Probably a buyback next year. Transitioning to consumables. You may not like its product, but it's good downside protection. Yield is 9.14%.
(Analysts’ price target is $44.94)
Not a "loved" company from a ESG perspective. Question is whether 10% divided yield is sustainable (thinks that it is). Debt levels ok. Believes company will perform well over the long term. Good for dividend oriented investors (good bond proxy). Owns shares and will continue to hold.