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Stockchase Opinions

Mike PhilbrickiShares Gold Bullion ETFCGL.TOBUYNov 15, 2022

Gold ETF and outlook? Careful because gold stock beta and gold beta are different. Better to buy gold itself, like this ETG or HUG-T which is cheaper and offers some tax saving.
$14.42

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$31.40

As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.

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WEAK BUY

With mining companies, so much can go wrong. If looking to hedge against inflation or geopolitical events, look at gold bullion instead. CGL.C is the unhedged version.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 15/22, Up 16%)

Gold is a good hedge against inflation.
Good place for investors who are worried about recession.
Will keep shares.

BUY

GLD is the most liquid and actively traded one. It is a good way to hold gold bullions. If you want a currency hedge, he would use CGL. Gold stocks look cheap versus gold bullion right now.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 25/19, Up 21%) He got it in Canadian $ on purpose. He wanted the US dollar exposure with the gold exposure to act as a diversifier. It has done exceptionally well due to inflation and slowing growth. It is outperforming the NAZDAQ.
SELL
Gold makes sense as a small part of many investors portfolios as an alternative asset class. In the recent market panic gold rallied quite a bit. Thinks perhaps it rallied too much. A small position in gold or other precious metals no more than single-digit % could make sense purely as a diversifier. As a long term buy and hold he would suggest to trim. If you look at the producers he would look at them just like any other equities, look at their book, the management, debt to equity ratio, geographic risks, etc.
TOP PICK
Not hedged (though there is a hedged version, a 50/50 split is fine). This gains exposure to gold, which you must own now.
COMMENT
He likes gold in small amounts in a portfolio, not expecting it to appreciate a lot. Over the long haul, gold just sits there and is de-coupled from the stock market. Gold offers diversification. He holds very little gold. CGL is currency-hedged and is the biggest and most liquid gold ETF in Canada.
HOLD

He thinks gold and silver are not in a friendly economic space right now, with good economic growth and no fear of rapid inflation. He would still consider this a holding to keep as a diversifying tool in your portfolio, because we do not know the future.

COMMENT

A hedged way to play the gold market. He has about a third of a position. Gold equity holdings are much more volatile than gold itself. If you believe gold is going up then you make more money on the equity side. We are in the mid-to-upper end of the range of the trading of this ETF. This is a no growth story.

COMMENT

XGD-T vs. CGL-T. CGL-T just holds gold bullion. There is a currency hedge on it. Gold mining companies tend to be pretty correlated over the long term. CGL-T is a more pure exposure and bypasses the gold companies. XGD-T is really just the companies. If you think they have opportunities then this is your vehicle of choice. CGL.C-T is not hedged. XGD-T is an equity investment, CGL-T is a commodity investment.

TOP PICK

Canadian dollars, gold Bullion. It just broke to a new high, outperforming the market, and momentum indicator are positive.

WAIT

iShares Gold Bullion (CGL-T) or iShares Comex Gold (IGT-T)? This one probably meets your needs, however thinks it is too early for gold. Gold had quite a little rally. If the Fed raises rates and the US$ strengthens, which it will, gold will take a hit. Gold has really worked in the past because of inflation, and we really don’t have that yet. Central banks globally are working on getting inflation going, and it is probably going to start in the US first. Before then, it is pure speculation.

COMMENT

Gold. CGL-T is a way to hold gold bullion, but hedge the Canadian dollar. The mining sector is dirt cheap. Below $1175 be wants to own it and will sell by $1225. If inflation starts to kick in, then gold will shine again but you don’t play for that today.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Nov 05/13, Down 26.64%) It did not work out well. Had a high dividend. A few months ago he met with management and was discouraged by a few things. He exited a few months ago.