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TSE:CGX

Cineplex Inc (CGX.TO)

11.74
-0.08 (0.68%)
as of Jun 19, 2026, 8:00:01 pm Market Open.
297 watching
0
HOLD
It's had a premium valuation for a long time and still has it. They've tried to diversify their business. Around $25-30, the stock is okay--hold it, but he isn't jumping into it. It's not cheap enough.
BUY
[Caller wanted a 10 year opinion] It's a tough call. He does not know where this industry will be in 10 years. It finally cracked over the last 12 months because less and less people go to the movies. It snowballed because streaming went to a scale where the family might just want to stay in and watch their mobile devices. It has finally hit their business model. They are doing gaming now. It might do well over the next year. They could get taken out. The stock moves on content so it depends on how good the movie slate is this season.
DON'T BUY
A love-hate stock. A disastrous movie summer last year and Cineplex got hurt. It's stable--generates a dividend. That said, he sold his shares, because he didn't like the swings in price.
WEAK BUY
Great managers who have built the business over the years. But they face the macro issue of Netflix. Now we see PE compression on high-growth stocks. Their opportunities to grow revenue, like adding games and offering wine, is good. But they depend on the quality of the movies. Long-term you will do well with this.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 10/17, Up 4%) Stock price has been flat and has made basically only the yield. They're diversifying their revenues (Rec Room, e-gaming) away from the box office which accounts for 70%. When the movie slate is strong, people do come and spend money at the concession counter. Younger people still go to theatres, even to the VIP cinemas. Movies have been strong, and people are spending once they get in there.
TOP PICK

He likes the chart a lot. It has had a really big pull back. He added in September. It flagged as showing momentum. The dividend yield is really good now after the pullback. I forged a beautiful base. (Analysts’ price target is $36.70)

WATCH

He is always worried about valuation. He is starting to review it again. They have to diversify beyond movies. He might look at it down the road.

COMMENT

It depends on the movies. The Rec Room with its amusement games and digital advertisiing now total 25-30% of their revenues, though the average spend on their (overpriced) popcorn continue to rise. If there are lousy movies, revenues go down. Good movies, higher revenues.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

It hit an air pocket. Concerns about secular shifts away from movies, which is overdone. Good job at lowering costs. Modelling 20% growth for 2020 over 2019. Not as expensive as it used to be, nice dividend. He’s long this name. At 20x, have to be somewhat careful. Would buy on a pullback. Yield is just shy of 5% yield.

BUY

He owns it in personal accounts. It has struggled to prove to the investor community that it is intact. There was a negative secular trend recently. They still generate great revenues and profitability because of the increasing purchase when people go to their theaters. Their digital signage business is 10-15% of their revenues, coming from quick serve restaurant menus and other businesses that use their screens for advertizing or menus. The dividend is safe and attractive.

BUY

He likes the Management. It is a hit and miss type of business. It makes no sense that the stock is trading at $28. $33, $40 is ore reasonable. They are doing a great job at diversifying. He has been positive on this stock for a long time and has been wrong. Hopefully he is right now. (Analysts’ price target is $35.51)

TOP PICK

It really struggled recently turning from a growth to value stock. It is cheap enough that it is interesting to him. Price momentum has improved more recently. (Analysts’ target: $35.36).

DON'T BUY

Doesn't pay much attention to it. Formed a base around $30, breaking a downtrend since mid-2017. High volatility and that'll continue. Unless these jitters settle down, it could test this summer's low.

HOLD

She has been a long-term holder of the company. It is diversifying its revenue stream. Theater is currently about 75% of their revenues, but management expects that over time the other activities will account for about 2⁄3 of revenues. This will take time, and she is giving management time to execute on their strategy. Yield 5.4%.

HOLD

Very strong management team. They are diversifying the business. One of the interesting things that is happening is that the cinema stocks had a bounced as Amazon.com (AMZN-Q) taking a position on Landmark Cinemas in the US. That sparked interest in the cinema stocks. (Analysts’ price target is $35.36)