Cardinal Energy Ltd (CJ.TO)

(A Top Pick May 27/16. Down 30%.) If someone were looking for income, he would describe this as a lower income oriented vehicle, which will get pretty decent production growth.

A good balance sheet, pretty conservative management that doesn’t drill above their cash flow. Believes the dividend is safe. Very, very cheap. When everything calms down, this should be a $9-$10 stock. Dividend yield of 6.4%.

He does not have a lot of comfort that the price of oil is going to go up a lot. He has a hard time getting excited and is not sure high dividends will be sustainable.

If you are going to expose yourself to heavy oil, there are far better names to own. A 12-year reserve life is not anything spectacular. This is a very low net-back business. Dividend yield of 6.7%.

They are planning on spending $100 million in CapX this year. Management is doing a great job. Has a great yield. It’s been really frustrating because there is not a lot of growth in the short term. They have really low decline wells, meaning production doesn’t fall off as quick in some of their mines.

This looks cheap and is attractive here, but wouldn’t go too heavily into it.

He is short this one. It has poor price momentum. It is expensive. It pays a good yield, but the cash flows don’t support it.

At current oil levels the dividend is safe. Their operating costs are about $20/barrel. With operating costs this high the impact is higher than with other players. She believes we are seeing a bottoming in oil prices and that there is a good fundamental picture, so thinks this company makes sense right now.

(Top Pick Apr 7/16, Down 14.4%) It was pummeled this year. He can’t bring himself to sell it. They are at a 4.3 times. They have a reserve life of 7.4 years. That means you are getting half the reserves for free.

Year-over-year cash flow was down 42% in November. However, earnings estimates have gone up by 20% in the last 90 days. Expected to lose $.13 in earnings this year, and $.02 next year. Forecasted as having $1.76 of cash flow for 2018 and $1.21 in 2017. If there is a rise in oil prices, this looks like a reasonable expectation.

In the next month energy could be presenting a good buying opportunity. It has broken a downtrend and is base building. It is ready to rip out of that zone. The support should hold. Take a half position on weakness.

(Market Call Minute.) Probably a good buy at this point. It is probably off 20% from its highs. A light oil producer and pays a decent distribution.

(A Top Pick Feb 23/16. Up 40.98%.) This remains a core holding for him, and he is still buying. He is looking for 87% upside.

This is his largest energy holding. An oily play in Western Canada. Conservative management and excellent balance sheet. All the things you want if you think it is an uncertain world in oil. Yield of almost 5%. A nice place to have some yield as well as some oily exposure. A good safety play with some oil aspects to it.

This has a reasonable yield, and he was looking for situation that had enough yield but with enough growth to give something extra. It has a very low decline rate, which means they don’t have to pump a lot of capital in the ground to keep their decline rate going. They are very good operators. It has an immaculate balance sheet, with very low debt. If the price of crude goes up even $5-$10, they will be big beneficiaries. Also the market cap is under $1 billion. When it gets to $1 billion, a lot of funds will buy it, giving it an extra kick. Dividend yield of 4.11%. (Analysts’ price target is $11.83.)