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TSE:COW
The US equivalent is MOO-N. Food is a dominant theme. This is the best way to participate in it. Fertilizers, equipment producers, etc. We are just beginning the uptrend. It will do well against the bear market trend. Don’t worry about it being thinly traded. They make units for you. It has been building a symmetrical triangle this year.
We are always going to have to have food. We have to grow more food in the next 40 years than we have grown in the last 10,000 years just to feed the global population. Climate change says that some of the best farmland is going to fry some of our food. It is a supply and demand story. It is global.
Agricultural commodities and agricultural products are his favourite assets. The thesis is that farmland is being eaten up by urbanization. Global population is now over 7 billion. As farmland goes down and population goes up, it is a supply/demand thing. There are very few hard assets that have such a steady, but consistently positive upward sloping growth chart like this one has.
This is global, so there is very little exposure to Canada. We are in a situation right now where farmland is being eaten up by urbanization. Global population is at 2.2 billion. (Our viewer Jonathan has come to our rescue again. This should be 7.2 billion.) Climate change is probably doing more to destroy farmland than it is to create new farmland. Because of all this, prices have to go up. Considers this tangible product as an inflation hedge.
Has been one of his favourite products for some time. There are 7.2 billion people globally, and farmland is always being eaten up by urbanization, so the need to be productive with agricultural products is going to be going on for the foreseeable future and for the rest of our lives. Should be pretty safe in getting some steady growth.
Switching from iShares Agriculture ETF (COW-T) to Potash (POT-T)? Cow has 7%-8% of Potash in it along with a lot of other companies. You are going to have a lot of risk going from a diversified basket of stocks over to one single stock. However, he thinks there is a little bit of move now on Potash. Chinese have stopped their 1st quarter buying and he thinks there is a little bit of a bottom on potash prices. The company is doing well. 4.5% yield. Kind of likes Potash here, but wouldn’t be prepared to give up the diversified basket.
iShares Global Agriculture (COW-T) or Potash Corp (POT-T)? The potash situation is nowhere near being solved. The oligopoly in Russia is still a disaster. There are not a lot of people buying potash, possibly waiting for it to hit bottom, but who knows when that is going to happen. Potash is about 7% of this ETF.
(Top Pick Aug 24/15, Down 3.47%) It could be seasonally okay to buy agriculture towards the end of the year. It is at the point where it is close to violating support. He may sell in the next few days.