Canadian Pacific Rail (CP.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Canadian Pacific Rail (CP.TO)

120.81

-0.80 (0.66%)

as of Jun 19, 2026, 8:00:01 pm Market Open.

305 watching

BUY

Impact of pipelines? Has done very well. Rails are seasonal now to April. The pipeline impact won't be immediate, but long-term, when the pipelines are nearly completed. CP is in an uptrend now. He likes CP.

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COMMENT

They mostly run east-west and are commodity-oriented. So, if oil shipping declines, so will CP's earnings. The rails are a bet on the Canadian economy continuing to do well and we don't fall into recession. But if markets drop 20-40% and the economy tanks, so will rails fall.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 19/18, Up 36%) They had very good looking growth back then. The multiples still look like pretty good value. If recent manufacturing weakness does not spill into the full economy you could buy here as we..

COMMENT

She owns CN instead, because it's the best rail in the industry. The rails have had a nice lift this year. CP has been investing in capacity this year. The rails will continue to benefit from crude-by-rail.

BUY

CP-T vs. CNR-T. He owns CP-T and not CNR-T although both are excellent. He prefers Canadian rails to US rails. Both just reported modest volume headwinds but CNR-T had to cut their guidance and CP-T did not. The cuts are transitory in nature for both but over the next couple of years CP-T is positioned better to navigate through these volume headwinds.

BUY

CNR-T vs. CP-T. He is optimistic with respect to the rails. You get about 3/4ths of your lift when the industry picks up. CNR-T is slightly better than CP-T but the difference is not massive.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 13/19, Down 7%) This year, it had an uptrend, then has consolidated since June. There's more downside to come. We are testing support levels now. He still likes it.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 11/18, Up 13%) He is getting indications that it is starting to run out of gas and he sold it in his fund. It is not an active candidate for purchase.

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BUY

CN vs CP After a lousy 30-40 years, the rails now enjoy sustained demand, high barriers to entry and free cash flow that can pay down debt and raise dividends. He likes this industry. He owns CN.

HOLD

If the economy slows, their revenues will drop. They are a high valuation right now. Over the long term it will be okay, but you will not receive a giant return -- more of a grind out story.

COMMENT

In light of potential trade wars, could this rail come down? Both of our rails are great moat businesses and incredibly well run. They are cyclical and are capital intensive businesses. If you look at the long term, their maintenance capital is higher than they book for depreciation, so their earnings quality is lower. Lower commodities would impact the bottom line. They are highly owned by US shareholders.

HOLD

He owns CNR-T over CP-T and CSX-Q in the US. CP-T is more grain and resource orientated -- East to West. CNR-T has more exposure to the US markets. He would hold if you own and wait for a pullback to buy more.

WATCH

It could come under pressure with a commodities downturn. He would be more enthusiastic about jumping in if it was 15% lower. He feels the same about CNR-T

TOP PICK

For the last three months, it's been in sidways consolidation, and before that it consolidated at a slightly lower level before it broke out to the upsside. There's still upside with CP. He owns a lot of CN and expects CP to also do well. (Analysts’ price target is $338.32)

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 04/19, Up 16%) He swapped out to CNR-T. He is still in the space. The fact that rails have not 'come off the rails' is an endorsement that as long as we have economic headwinds, things are cooking along. You'll do well in either name a year from now.

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Canadian Pacific Rail (CP.TO)