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CSX CorpCSXCOMMENTJan 15, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
They are continuing the plan that Hunter Harrison put in place to improve efficiency, drive down the operating ratio, and sell assets. Velocity is up 20% this year: trains are moving faster, which provides better service and increases capacity. CSX is improving its capital profile, with higher cash flow margins. He expects every dollar of revenue to convert to about 30 cents in the future from a historical level of 8 cents. There have been complaints from the customer (shipper) base as a result of all the cost cutting but if CSX keeps improving its operating metrics, the customers’ concerns will be resolved. (Analysts’ price target is 62.92$)
A well-run railroad. What worries him a little is that it is trading at about a 15% premium to their average multiple over the last 5 years. As much as their exposure to oil is lower, they also have a fairly good exposure to coal. That is a definite drag and has been for quite some time. On the plus side, the automotive business is doing very well, their intermodal business is doing very well. Chemicals and the housing market are beginning to show some signs of picking up. On balance, he likes the railroad, but the multiple continues to worry him.