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Stockchase Opinions

Barry SchwartzCSX CorpCSXHOLDJun 13, 2017

Hunter Harrison is the mastermind, the God of railroads, and he would never bet against him. CSX has to do a lot right to justify the current stock price, but the hedge fund that is involved thinks that if he gets it right, this is a $100 stock.

$53.87

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$45.47

As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.

Transportation
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BUY

Run by a great CEO. The company is becoming more customer-oriented. He targets $40.

BUY
This is an east coast railroad, and east coast ports will get more business (west coast ports are dysfunctional). They are minting money with coal shipping; Europe has de-nuclearized, so it needs other sources of energy. A long-term investment. Is down 16% this year, but has a lot of upside.
BUY
He started buying it today at $36 and it's pushing $37. Upside call is $37.50.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 22/21, Up 16.5%) Railroads are benefiting from the infrastructure and supply chain, because rails are the leading way to transport good. This is a positive. He sees 8% earnings growth. Still a buy.
BUY

Really likes the rails, a cyclical group. CN, CP, CSX trade as a team. Transport is doing quite well, and the rails have a lot of leverage in their business models. Done a great job managing operating expenses.

BUY
Reports next week. The industrial cargo business is growing stronger. If this sells off in response to Union Pacific, then buy.
BUY
CSX just announced a huge share buyback program and a nice earnings beat. Impressive given that this is a smaller railroad.
WAIT
They have started to bring down their operating costs. The low hanging fruit has been picked. It's hard to extract costs more without risking safety. Revenue is driven by economic activities that are slowing down.
HOLD

He owns CNR-T over CP-T and CSX-Q in the US. CP-T is more grain and resource orientated -- East to West. CNR-T has more exposure to the US markets. He would hold if you own and wait for a pullback to buy more.

WATCH
The rails are an interesting space because they are very much affected by the trade dispute with China. It has suffered a bit but then been brought back into a more reasonable valuation range. Revenues will probably drop one percent this year. He does not think it can keep going up. Let the trade issue resolve itself before stepping in.
BUY

The CEO passed away. The railroad industry is bullish at the moment. Truckers are not allowed to drive 40 hours now. Trucking is becoming more expensive. Railroads are getting more market share and they continue to get more efficient. (Analysts’ price target is $81.09)

SELL

The rails have been on a spectacular run in this cycle. This one started down at its book value and now is close to 5 times book value. The best days are behind it. If the economy ever has a setback this stock could go down substantially.

COMMENT

Rails in general are benefiting from strong economy in North America, especially the US. All these companies have become more efficient, infrastructure plays. Trade wars are a risk. Generally, the rails are a good way to play North American economy.

TOP PICK

They are continuing the plan that Hunter Harrison put in place to improve efficiency, drive down the operating ratio, and sell assets. Velocity is up 20% this year: trains are moving faster, which provides better service and increases capacity. CSX is improving its capital profile, with higher cash flow margins. He expects every dollar of revenue to convert to about 30 cents in the future from a historical level of 8 cents. There have been complaints from the customer (shipper) base as a result of all the cost cutting but if CSX keeps improving its operating metrics, the customers’ concerns will be resolved. (Analysts’ price target is 62.92$)