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Chevron TexacoCVXTOP PICKMar 21, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Took profits to rotate into sectors with higher beta. Oil stocks have come off with price of oil. Chart's been sideways, earnings disappointment. Longer term, likes the energy space with demand moving higher and supply cuts. 7.5% free cashflow yield, 4.2% dividend yield. He'd consider adding back into the portfolio.
Energy is out of favour. Very strong financial position, 11% debt to total capital. Capital investments of years ago are paying off. Great free cashflow. Trades at 7x enterprise value to EBITDA, relatively cheap. Wonderful promise on growth, and shareholder-friendly paybacks. Yield is 3.77%.
(Analysts’ price target is $185.18)
He is looking for market-leading companies that are in sectors out of favour, and either have very strong dividends or some sort of catalyst that will unlock value. This one meets all that criteria. Oil has dropped over $100 a barrel, down to about $26, and then moved up now to just below $50. As a result, companies are still shutting in production as opposed to expanding, until supply/demand come back into sync. This is a great way to play that. No matter what happens, this company is dedicated to holding up their 4% dividend yield. Also, they have already made a lot of investments such as Indonesia, so CapX is going to be further reduced, and will be able to grow their free cash flow going forward. (Analysts’ price target is $126.50.)