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Stockchase Opinions

David DremanChevron TexacoCVXTOP PICKDec 17, 2004

Oil prices will be $35 or more from now on. At about 12 X earnings and very good dividends. If earnings just stay where they are, or increase very gradually, it is still a good value.
$51.72

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$185.82

As of Jun 11, 2026. Market Open.

integrated oils
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COMMENT

Earnings haven't been great and the PE has declined. Tough comps face energy stocks going into 2024. But M&A will be accretive to the major energy names. Don't buy an energy ETF, but choose energy names.

SELL

She sold Chevron to buy more SLB, which is the #1 player in oil field services. Traeds at 17x forward PE. They raised guidance three times this year, yet shares haven't moved. Their technology is not appreciation.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 23/22, Down 20%)

Took profits to rotate into sectors with higher beta. Oil stocks have come off with price of oil. Chart's been sideways, earnings disappointment. Longer term, likes the energy space with demand moving higher and supply cuts. 7.5% free cashflow yield, 4.2% dividend yield. He'd consider adding back into the portfolio.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 13/23, Down 4.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with CVX has triggered its stop at $150.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment loss of 6%, when combined with our previous recommendations. 

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Is skeptical that them buying Hess will double their free cash flow by 2027, but not without risk. Earnings were okay, 8.5% better than last quarter but lower than a year ago. Had owned this 11 years, but would buy on a pullback. The dividend is secure and growing.

BUY
A big gainer in Q3

Oil has been rallying due to geopolitics, rather than demand. That may be why oil stocks have lagged crude. CVX was up 7% in Q3.

BUY

There's been underinvestment in oil while the world demands more oil. Chevron had a solid quarter despite lower oil prices last quarter, but he expects higher prices ahead. One of his top holdings.

BUY

You need some exposure to energy, so she's sticking with this.

BUY

He added more recently. Permian production hit a record. Saudi Arabia wants to cut more oil and raise prices. Also, he's bullish China, because there's little downside going forward.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate CVX, one of the world's largest integrated energy companies, as a TOP PICK.  With WTI prices high enough to generate impressive free cash flow, the company intends to focus on its primary asset in the Permian basin, where economics are well known.  This allows the company to maintain a ROE over 20% and to pay a good dividend backed by a payout ratio under one-third of cash flow.  We continue to recommend a tight stop at $150, looking to achieve $188 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 3.6%  

(Analysts’ price target is $188.13)
TOP PICK

Energy is out of favour. Very strong financial position, 11% debt to total capital. Capital investments of years ago are paying off. Great free cashflow. Trades at 7x enterprise value to EBITDA, relatively cheap. Wonderful promise on growth, and shareholder-friendly paybacks. Yield is 3.77%.

(Analysts’ price target is $185.18)
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate CVX, one of the world's largest fully integrated oil and gas companies as a TOP PICK.  The company continues to generate enormous free cash flow, allowing the company to aggressively retire debt and buy back shares.  It trades under 10x earnings and under 2x book value.  It pays a good dividend backed by a payout ratio under 1/3 of cash flow.  We continue to recommend a stop at $150, looking to achieve $189 -- upside potential of 19%.  Yield 3.6%

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1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

As of end 2022, CVX was Warren Buffet’s third largest holding - $30 billion.  The company is generating incredible cash flow as it benefits from its integrated portfolio from production to retail distribution.  It trades at 10x earnings and under 2x book value and supports a 23% ROE.  Cash reserves are growing while debt is retired and shares bought back.  It pays a good dividend, backed by payout ratio under 35% of cash flow.  We recommend placing a stop loss at $150, looking to achieve $193 — upside potential over 19%.  Yield 3.58%

(Analysts’ price target is $192.96)
DON'T BUY

Oil prices have been slumping and Chevron's last quarter wasn't up to snuff. Shares at in no man's land.

TOP PICK

Pristine balance sheet, only 12% debt to total capital. Investments are paying off. Good entry point, as oil's traded off. Yield is 3.61%. 

(Analysts’ price target is $191.80)