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NASDAQ:GOOG
Agrees with Bill Ackman that GOOG botched their AI launch and let MSFT take the lead. MSFT is the top AI play, even ahead of Nvidia. Demand for cloud will increase as demand for AI rises, because AI needs more cloud. GOOG is starting to charge a subscription for services, like MSFT, making their revenue stream consistent. He likes and owns both.
Though MSFT is up 32% this year vs. GOOG's 49%, he prefers MSFT, because Google fumbled their AI roll-out while MSFT will benefit more from AI, as offered in their suite of services and how it benefits their consumers. Both companies are strong with strong user bases and will benefit from AI.
80-85% of revenue comes from ads on Search. A recession would impact this, always keep that in mind. So many horses in the race. Together with MSFT, very much a leader in the AI space. Will do extremely well with generative services. A Top 5 holding. Constantly beats expectations. #3 in the cloud, but ORCL is biting at their heels.
He's bullish the NFL on YouTube. Big tech like Amazon are getting into live sports because advertisers love it. This NFL/YT deal will be bigger and better than those other sports deals and will be a game-changer for GOOG and yet few notice. GOOG shares are up 56% this year, because digital ads are holding up and Google is basically an ad platform. A revenues grew 3.3% in the last quarter over the previous quarter and beat estimates. Search and YouTube ads both did well. The market is slowly waking up to YouTube's ad revenue power but also subscriptions which give stability to the boom and bust ad revenue stream.
It has a dominant position in the search business. Has a great balance sheet with $50 billion in free cash flow each year. It has 30% of all digital advertising which is a 400 billion dollar business. Trades at 19X earnings with great growth opportunities. There is an anti-trust action against Google but they will learn from Microsoft's experience and not be so aggressive.
Excellent idea to buy for a long-term hold. Coming back from 2022 with a vengeance. Ads are its lifeblood, and those are coming back. Controls Search. Its rocky start with AI lasted only weeks, and its huge R&D investment makes it a player. Reasonable mid-20s multiple for growth of almost 20%. Good value, lots of runway.
Now embarking on AI. Boasts a long track record of innovation and successfully integrating tech companies. Trades in the low-20x PE, not far from consumer product companies, but boasts better growth rates. They spend $20 billion yearly on R&D. Really likes this company.